Highest temperature in Taipei on April 14?
Weather|$16.5k Vol|
time1 days 10 hrs

Highest temperature in Taipei on April 14? - AI Found +18.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.12 06:34
Top Undervalued
+18.5¢
32°C(No)
+12¢
31°C(No)
+10.5¢
29°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Taipei on April 14? AI analysis: • +18.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature in Taipei on April 14 is expected to ...
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Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
Weather|$21.8k Vol|
time1 days 10 hrs

Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+18.5¢
82-83°F(No)
+12.5¢
78-79°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature for Miami International Airport (KMIA) o...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
How are the resolution rules and win/loss conditions defined for the highest temperature at Miami Intl Airport on April 14, and what happens if Wunderground revises the data later?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 14?
Weather|$10.0k Vol|
time1 days 10 hrs

Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+27.5¢
37°C(Yes)
+20.5¢
39°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from multiple meteorological sources (e.g., Weather Underground, N...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
This is a standard single-day weather prediction market for a specific city. While the general public outside the region or weather traders wouldn't normally think about the exact high temperature in Lucknow, it is a relatively conventional and established type of question in prediction markets.
Divergence
There is a divergence. Mainstream weather forecasts indicate the maximum temperature on April 14 is most likely to be 37°C or 38°C, yet the market currently prices 39°C as the favorite (Yes at 40c) and gives excessively high premiums to 40°C and above. This divergence likely stems from traders over-betting on extreme heat trends without fully pricing in the short-term meteorological forecasts.
AI Analysis
Explain the Wunderground resolution rules and Celsius rounding conditions for this Lucknow temperature market like I'm 5.
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 14?
Weather|$14.3k Vol|
time1 days 10 hrs

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+26.5¢
24°C(Yes)
+21¢
27°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to recent weather forecasts (WeatherBug, AccuWeather, etc.), the high temperature for Mini...
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Divergence
The market currently places higher probabilities on 25°C (41.5%) and 26°C (30.5%), whereas mainstream meteorological forecasts strongly point toward 24°C. Furthermore, the massive pricing inefficiency (Yes probabilities summing to 230%) indicates that the current quotes are driven by illiquidity or irrational trading rather than actual weather fundamentals.
AI Analysis
What is the data update frequency for the SAEZ (Minister Pistarini Intl Airport) station on Wunderground, and is there any risk of delay in finalizing the temperature data for April 14 that could lock up funds?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 14?
Weather|$23.0k Vol|
time1 days 10 hrs

Highest temperature in Wellington on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+26.5¢
18°C(No)
+22¢
16°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts from Wunderground and MetService, the high temperature for...
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AI Analysis
Explain the specific resolution rules for this market like I'm 5, especially how Wunderground data and whole-degree Celsius rounding will determine the winning temperature for Wellington.
Highest temperature in Munich on April 14?
Weather|$19.1k Vol|
time1 days 10 hrs

Highest temperature in Munich on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+14¢
11°C(No)
+11¢
10°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature at Munich Airport (EDDM) on April 14 ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact high temperature of a specific city on a single day is a niche and novelty topic in prediction markets. While not extremely absurd, ordinary people typically wouldn't think about this specific question unless they are locals or weather enthusiasts.
AI Analysis
Based on the resolution rules, how exactly will the Wunderground data for the Munich Airport Station (EDDM) be interpreted on April 14, and what happens if the temperature data is officially revised after the initial finalization?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
32°C
YesNo
26.5¢
73.5¢
8¢
92¢
0¢
+18.5¢
31°C
YesNo
24¢
76¢
12¢
88¢
0¢
+12¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Between 05:23 and 06:28 on April 12, 2026, several options experienced drastic price changes. For example, the yes price for 28°C dropped from 44.5c to 12.5c, and 30°C dropped from 44.5c to 23c. This was due to the approaching resolution date and updated weather forecasts, which caused rapid adjustments in implied probabilities as the market concentrated bets on more precise temperature ranges (like 29°C and 30°C).

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