Highest temperature in Taipei on April 20?
Weather|$13.7k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Taipei on April 20? - AI Found +27.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.18 07:10
Top Undervalued
+27.5¢
32°C(No)
+25.5¢
29°C(Yes)
+18.5¢
33°C(No)

Highest temperature in Taipei on April 20? AI analysis: • +27.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Taipei (RCSS, Songshan Airport S...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
"Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office
Culture|$132.7k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

"Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office

Top Undervalued
+1.2¢
10-15m(No)
+1.1¢
<10m(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the weekend nears its end (currently early Sunday UTC), the $1.5M Thursday preview and initial Fr...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
2026-04-16 to 2026-04-19, the price of 10-15m surged from 66c to 96c, while 15-20m crashed from 25.5c to 1.1c. This was driven by the release of the $1.5M Thursday preview numbers and initial Friday estimates, confirming the weekend gross will safely land in the $12M-$14M range, leading to absolute concentration of capital in the 10-15m bracket. 2026-04-14 to 2026-04-17, the price of 10-15m surged from 52.5c to 86c, while 15-20m crashed from 25.5c to 1.9c. This occurred because Thursday preview numbers and initial Friday estimates came in, showing the film underperforming the initial $15M-$20M industry tracking, leading funds to aggressively reprice and concentrate in the 10-15m bracket. 2026-04-13 to 2026-04-17, the price of <10m plummeted from 37.5c to 8.5c, while 10-15m surged from 49.5c to 73.5c. As the release approached, tracking agencies solidified the opening floor above $10M, leading the market to completely price out a massive flop and heavily concentrate capital into the 10-15m bracket as a hedge. 2026-04-13 to 2026-04-14, the price of <10m plunged from 37.5c to 13c, 10-15m fluctuated around 52c, and 15-20m rose from 18c to 22.5c. As the release date approached, tracking data became clearer, pricing out an extremely dismal opening and reflecting a consensus of moderate performance.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
32°C
YesNo
29.5¢
70.5¢
98¢
+27.5¢
29°C
YesNo
9.5¢
90.5¢
35¢
65¢
+25.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Moderate novelty. While weather forecasting is a common daily activity, betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific city on a specific date in a prediction market is a relatively niche topic. Aside from locals or meteorology enthusiasts, the general public wouldn't typically ponder the exact answer to this.
Divergence
The market pricing significantly diverges from mainstream meteorological forecasts. Forecasts clearly point to a high of around 29°C, yet the prediction market places unusually high Yes prices on 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C (all trading above 20c). This reflects either an unrealistic speculation on early extreme heat in Taiwan or a lack of informed trading based on current weather models.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets