How will the highest temperature at Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion Airport on April 5 be specifically determined and rounded according to the NOAA resolution rules?

AI-powered analysis for: How will the highest temperature at Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion Airport on April 5 be specifically determined and rounded according to the NOAA resolution rules?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How reliable is the NOAA timeseries data source for Ben Gurion Airport, and what are the risks if the data for April 5 is not finalized?

AI-powered analysis for: How reliable is the NOAA timeseries data source for Ben Gurion Airport, and what are the risks if the data for April 5 is not finalized?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

When exactly will the NOAA finalize all hourly temperature data for Tel Aviv on April 5, allowing the market to resolve smoothly?

AI-powered analysis for: When exactly will the NOAA finalize all hourly temperature data for Tel Aviv on April 5, allowing the market to resolve smoothly?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What are the historical average and highest recorded temperature statistics for Tel Aviv (Ben Gurion Airport) on April 5 over the past 5 years?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the historical average and highest recorded temperature statistics for Tel Aviv (Ben Gurion Airport) on April 5 over the past 5 years?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Are there any current weather models predicting key variables like unexpected heatwaves or cold fronts in Tel Aviv for April 5?

AI-powered analysis for: Are there any current weather models predicting key variables like unexpected heatwaves or cold fronts in Tel Aviv for April 5?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Have there been previous rule disputes on Polymarket regarding NOAA temperature data precision or timezone differences for Israel?

AI-powered analysis for: Have there been previous rule disputes on Polymarket regarding NOAA temperature data precision or timezone differences for Israel?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How do the current odds for the "26°C or higher" option intuitively translate into the probability of a hot day in Tel Aviv?

AI-powered analysis for: How do the current odds for the "26°C or higher" option intuitively translate into the probability of a hot day in Tel Aviv?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How predictable and accurate are current weather forecasts when predicting exact whole-degree maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv for early April?

AI-powered analysis for: How predictable and accurate are current weather forecasts when predicting exact whole-degree maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv for early April?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the lowest extreme maximum temperature forecasted for Tel Aviv on April 5, and does it realistically support the "16°C or below" bottom option?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the lowest extreme maximum temperature forecasted for Tel Aviv on April 5, and does it realistically support the "16°C or below" bottom option?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

As April 5 approaches, which specific temperature bracket benefits the most from time decay (Theta) assuming weather forecasts remain stable?

AI-powered analysis for: As April 5 approaches, which specific temperature bracket benefits the most from time decay (Theta) assuming weather forecasts remain stable?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low volume of $5 in this market, what is the slippage risk for entering a $100 position on the "22°C" temperature bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low volume of $5 in this market, what is the slippage risk for entering a $100 position on the "22°C" temperature bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is there a risk of FOMO and getting trapped by chasing high odds on wrong temperature brackets due to sensationalized extreme weather news for the Middle East?

AI-powered analysis for: Is there a risk of FOMO and getting trapped by chasing high odds on wrong temperature brackets due to sensationalized extreme weather news for the Middle East?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What are the main community disagreements regarding the different weather forecast models (e.g., ECMWF vs. GFS) for Tel Aviv on April 5?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the main community disagreements regarding the different weather forecast models (e.g., ECMWF vs. GFS) for Tel Aviv on April 5?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What upcoming forecast updates from major meteorological agencies within the next 48 hours could act as catalysts to shift the odds for Tel Aviv's April 5 temperature?

AI-powered analysis for: What upcoming forecast updates from major meteorological agencies within the next 48 hours could act as catalysts to shift the odds for Tel Aviv's April 5 temperature?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Does current market pricing include enough risk premium to account for the settlement risks of NOAA measuring in whole degrees (e.g., 21.6°C)?

AI-powered analysis for: Does current market pricing include enough risk premium to account for the settlement risks of NOAA measuring in whole degrees (e.g., 21.6°C)?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the latest Tel Aviv weather forecasts and current bid-ask spread, what is the optimal limit order price for the "24°C" option?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the latest Tel Aviv weather forecasts and current bid-ask spread, what is the optimal limit order price for the "24°C" option?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Are there other highly correlated weather prediction markets for April 5 that can be combined with this Tel Aviv temperature event for a hedging strategy?

AI-powered analysis for: Are there other highly correlated weather prediction markets for April 5 that can be combined with this Tel Aviv temperature event for a hedging strategy?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What specific shift in the official weather forecast for Ben Gurion Airport should act as a red line to trigger an immediate stop-loss for a "25°C" Yes position?

AI-powered analysis for: What specific shift in the official weather forecast for Ben Gurion Airport should act as a red line to trigger an immediate stop-loss for a "25°C" Yes position?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Which underpriced extreme temperature bracket (e.g., "17°C") offers the best high-reward "lottery ticket" play for a $10 micro-capital bet?

AI-powered analysis for: Which underpriced extreme temperature bracket (e.g., "17°C") offers the best high-reward "lottery ticket" play for a $10 micro-capital bet?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Considering the extremely low liquidity in this Tel Aviv weather market, what would be the actual net profit of a $50 arbitrage bet after deducting Gas fees and slippage?

AI-powered analysis for: Considering the extremely low liquidity in this Tel Aviv weather market, what would be the actual net profit of a $50 arbitrage bet after deducting Gas fees and slippage?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5?

Weather|$23.1k Vol|

8 hrs 58 mins

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5? - AI Found +22.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.03 21:36

Top Undervalued

+22.5¢

22°C(Yes)

+17.5¢

21°C(No)

+13¢

20°C(No)

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 5? AI analysis: • +22.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

With less than two days remaining until April 5, weather forecast models are stabilizing. Based on t...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

22°C

YesNo

10.5¢

89.5¢

33¢

67¢

+22.5¢

0¢

21°C

YesNo

45.5¢

54.5¢

28¢

72¢

0¢

+17.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

From April 1, 2026, to April 3, 2026, the price of the 22°C option rose significantly from 16.5c to 33c, as closer-date weather forecast models adjusted the expected high temperature upwards, making this range the most likely outcome. From April 1, 2026, to April 3, 2026, the price of the 21°C option increased from 17c to a peak of 36.5c before settling at 28c, reflecting some oscillation and uncertainty in meteorological models between 21°C and 22°C. From April 1, 2026, to April 3, 2026, the price of the 19°C option peaked at 25.5c from 17c before gradually declining to 8.8c, as the latest forecasts ruled out the possibility of a cooler cold front. From April 1, 2026, to April 2, 2026, the price of the 19°C option fluctuated wildly between 14.5c and 25.5c due to fine-tuning of short-term weather forecast models altering market expectations. From April 1, 2026, to April 2, 2026, the price of the 20°C option rose from 17.5c and stabilized around 22c, as meteorological updates pointed to a slightly warmer trend. From April 1, 2026, to April 2, 2026, the price of the 21°C option increased from 17c to 27.5c before settling back to 24.5c, reflecting uncertainty in predictive models.