Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
Weather|$26.6k Vol|
time1 days 23 hrs

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1? - AI Found +16.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.29 22:57
Top Undervalued
+16.5¢
19°C or higher(No)
+9.5¢
18°C(Yes)
+3¢
17°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1? AI analysis: • +16.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo Haneda Airport on Ap...
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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
netflix|$25.7k Vol|
time11 hrs 21 mins

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+1.3¢
Trap House(No)
+1.3¢
War Machine(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market trends and the previous fair value analysis, the prices of all listed opt...
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AI Analysis
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
Finance|$19.8k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+2.5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Nike's GAAP EPS estimate was heavily revised down to $0.29. The current 'Yes' price is stabilizing a...
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Hedging
NKE
This event directly drives the stock price of Nike (NKE). Earnings days typically trigger significant intraday volatility for the specific stock (often around 5%, hence Score 3), making it a direct target for single-stock options or spot hedging. While Nike is a key consumer stock, the impact of a single earnings report on broad indices (like S&P 500) is diluted and negligible.
Movers
March 26, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Option_'Yes' price retraced from 86.5c to 73.5c. Reason: As the earnings release approaches and heading into the weekend, early investors took profits, and the market showed pre-earnings risk aversion. March 24, 2026 - March 26, 2026, Option_'Yes' price rebounded and surged from 76c to 86.5c. Reason: As earnings approach, market confidence in beating the heavily lowered $0.29 estimate resolidified, absorbing previous profit-taking pressure. March 23, 2026 - March 24, 2026, Option_'Yes' price retraced from 83c to 76c, driven by profit-taking from early entrants (who bought at 50c-60c) as the earnings date approaches, causing a technical correction. March 19, 2026 - March 21, 2026, Option_'Yes' price surged from 50c to 80.5c, as the market recognized the $0.29 consensus bar was overly conservative, triggering a violent repricing of the previously undervalued probability of a beat.
AI Analysis
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?
Politics|$50.3k Vol|
time11 hrs 21 mins

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+1.1¢
(No)
+0.5¢
April 30(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 30, 2026, less than 2 days remain until the March 31 resolution. Given the slow pace of ...
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Exotics
This is a specific geopolitical/military prediction focusing on the control of a specific settlement in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine. While war forecasting is an established category, predicting the precise tactical outcome for a small town (Drobysheve) is niche and granular, distinct from broader mainstream events.
AI Analysis
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
Crypto|$370.6k Vol|
time276 days 16 hrs

Bitcoin best month in 2026?

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
September(No)
+1.4¢
March(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current date is March 30, 2026. As Q1 wraps up, time decay is extremely prominent. January is effect...
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Hedging
BTC
This event is directly correlated with Bitcoin's price volatility. Winning the 'Best Month' title implies a significant uptrend for that month (e.g., >20% gain). While the market resolution itself does not drive the asset price, the event is essentially a bet on high-volatility bullish periods, serving as a relevant instrument for bullish strategies or hedging.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
19°C or higher
YesNo
36.5¢
63.5¢
20¢
80¢
+16.5¢
18°C
YesNo
35.5¢
64.5¢
45¢
55¢
+9.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
March 29, 2026 20:05 - 22:15, the price of '18°C' surged from 21.5c to 37c, and '17°C' surged from 20c to 32.5c, as weather forecasts became more definitive locking the expected temperature in a higher range. March 29, 2026 20:05 - 22:15, the price of '10°C' crashed from 15.5c to 0.6c, and '12°C' dropped from 17c to 7.2c, as the latest forecasts ruled out the possibility of such low temperatures.

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