Explain the resolution criteria for the Tokyo May 4 highest temperature market in simple terms, specifically how Wunderground's whole-degree Celsius precision will directly determine the winning option.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution criteria for the Tokyo May 4 highest temperature market in simple terms, specifically how Wunderground's whole-degree Celsius precision will directly determine the winning option.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the current extremely low volume ($52) in this Tokyo weather market, how is the order book depth, and what is the slippage risk for a $100 level capital entry or exit?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the current extremely low volume ($52) in this Tokyo weather market, how is the order book depth, and what is the slippage risk for a $100 level capital entry or exit?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Considering the low liquidity of this Tokyo May 4 temperature event, how should I formulate a 'Stink Bid' strategy to catch extreme mispricing or sudden panic selling across the temperature buckets?

AI-powered analysis for: Considering the low liquidity of this Tokyo May 4 temperature event, how should I formulate a 'Stink Bid' strategy to catch extreme mispricing or sudden panic selling across the temperature buckets?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 4?

Weather|$61.9k Vol|

10 hrs 17 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 4? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.03 22:54

Top Undervalued

+7¢

25°C(No)

+5¢

24°C(Yes)

+3.8¢

27°C(No)

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 4? AI analysis: • +7¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on current pricing trends, 25°C and 26°C are the most favored options, and as the resolution d...

🔓 Log in to see more

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

25°C

YesNo

57¢

43¢

50¢

0¢

+7¢

24°C

YesNo

5¢

95¢

10¢

90¢

+5¢

0¢

Expand to view all 7 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

While weather prediction markets and derivatives exist in professional fields, betting on the exact daily high temperature at a specific airport remains a relatively niche and novelty topic for general prediction market participants.

Movers

May 2, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the price of the 24°C option dropped from 32.5c to 8c, as weather forecasts increasingly ruled out lower temperatures as time progressed. May 2, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the price of the 26°C option surged from 21.5c up to 46c before settling at 34c, driven by expectations of higher temperatures in updated forecasts. May 2, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the 25°C option rose steadily from around 30c to 52.5c, as it emerged as the most likely outcome nearing the expiration date.