May 13, 2026 - May 16, 2026: The Montreal Canadiens' Yes price surged from 51.5c to 79.5c (while the Buffalo Sabres dropped from 50c to 20.5c) because the Canadiens won Game 5 on May 14 with a 6-3 victory, taking a 3-2 series lead and pushing the Sabres to the brink of elimination. May 11, 2026 - May 13, 2026: The Montreal Canadiens' Yes price dropped from 69.5c to 51.5c because the Buffalo Sabres won Game 4 on May 12, tying the series at 2-2.

Weather prediction is relatively common in prediction markets, but for the general public, predicting the exact highest temperature in Ankara on a specific day is quite niche unless they have travel plans.

May 14, 2026 - May 15, 2026: The price of the 20°C option dropped from 37.5c to 22c. This shift occurred as the expiration date approached and updated forecasts (including Wunderground) adjusted the expected high to 71°F (approx 21.6°C), shifting the market's focus toward 21°C and 22°C. May 12, 2026 - May 14, 2026: No other options experienced a price movement of more than 10 cents, indicating stable market expectations previously.

Predicting the exact high temperature in a specific Indian city on a given day is a very niche market. Outside of local residents or weather enthusiasts, few people would consider this question.

From May 14, 2026, to May 15, 2026, the price of '41°C or below' surged from 83c to 96c. This was driven by the approaching resolution date and updated definitive weather forecasts (specifically from Wunderground) predicting maximum temperatures of 39°C-40°C, which eliminated the uncertainty of extreme heat spikes.