Explain the resolution criteria for the 'Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8' market in simple terms, specifically regarding the Wunderground Tianhe Airport data and the whole degree Celsius precision.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution criteria for the 'Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8' market in simple terms, specifically regarding the Wunderground Tianhe Airport data and the whole degree Celsius precision.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Check historical weather data for Wuhan in early April to calculate the actual occurrence frequency of the highest temperature hitting the various option ranges (e.g., 24°C or higher vs. 14°C or below) over the past few years.

AI-powered analysis for: Check historical weather data for Wuhan in early April to calculate the actual occurrence frequency of the highest temperature hitting the various option ranges (e.g., 24°C or higher vs. 14°C or below) over the past few years.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Suggest a stop-loss red line for this temperature prediction market based on daily weather forecast updates (e.g., immediately stop-loss if the latest forecast differs from your held position's range by more than X degrees).

AI-powered analysis for: Suggest a stop-loss red line for this temperature prediction market based on daily weather forecast updates (e.g., immediately stop-loss if the latest forecast differs from your held position's range by more than X degrees).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?

Weather|$12.9k Vol|

22 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8? - AI Found +13.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 5 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+13.5¢

21°C(Yes)

+8.5¢

23°C(No)

+6.5¢

24°C or higher(No)

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8? AI analysis: • +13.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The latest weather forecasts consistently show that Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will experien...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

21°C

YesNo

31.5¢

68.5¢

45¢

55¢

+13.5¢

0¢

23°C

YesNo

13.5¢

86.5¢

5¢

95¢

0¢

+8.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

Predicting the exact high temperature of a specific city on a given day is a relatively niche weather forecasting market. While weather forecasts are common, betting on the precise degree on a specific date carries a certain level of novelty.

Movers

April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026: The price of the '22°C' option surged from 19c to 30.5c, and the '21°C' option rose from 23c to 32c. This is because, as the target date approaches, weather models further confirmed a moderate high temperature (around 21°C-22°C) under rainy conditions, causing market funds to concentrate in the most likely range. April 4, 2026 - April 5, 2026: The price of the '24°C or higher' option plummeted from 26.5c to 9.5c (and later to 4c), and the '22°C' option temporarily dropped from 25.5c to 14.5c. This was due to updated weather forecasts confirming rain and a lower high temperature, eliminating the possibility of extreme heat. April 4, 2026 - April 5, 2026: The price of the '19°C' option surged from 12c to 23.5c (before retreating later) because the forecasted heavy rain initially led the market to anticipate that the actual high temperature might be further suppressed by precipitation, though subsequent forecasts revised the expectation back to around 21°C.