How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
Economy|$4,957 Vol|
time43 days 11 hrs

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting? - AI Found +46.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.30 18:39
Top Undervalued
+46.5¢
0(Yes)
+28¢
2(No)
+27.5¢
1(No)

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting? AI analysis: • +46.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Historically, the vast majority of FOMC interest rate decisions are unanimous (0 dissents). Even whe...
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Highest temperature in Madrid on May 5?
Weather|$17.2k Vol|
time23 hrs 29 mins

Highest temperature in Madrid on May 5?

Top Undervalued
+33.5¢
20°C(No)
+30¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest mainstream weather forecasts (including The Weather Channel and Met Office),...
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Divergence
The market currently prices 19°C as the most likely outcome (34.5c), whereas most mainstream meteorological agencies (like Weather.com and the Met Office) explicitly forecast a high of 18°C [14, 20]. The market might be over-indexing on recent warmer days or historical biases where airport temperatures measure slightly higher. This creates a mild divergence between consensus forecasts and market pricing.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 5?
Weather|$19.8k Vol|
time23 hrs 29 mins

Highest temperature in Singapore on May 5?

Top Undervalued
+20.5¢
32°C(No)
+11.5¢
33°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the 4-day outlook by the Meteorological Service Singapore (MSS), the maximum temperatur...
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Rule Risk
There is a slight contradiction in the rules: the text refers to the highest temperature recorded by the 'Forecast', yet the provided link points to the 'history' page. Since historical records and forecasts are distinct, this ambiguous phrasing could lead to resolution disputes. Additionally, relying on a third-party source with whole-degree rounding introduces the risk of discrepancies with official local weather data.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 5?
Weather|$12.4k Vol|
time23 hrs 29 mins

Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 5?

Top Undervalued
+16.7¢
27°C(Yes)
+14.5¢
30°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Air...
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Exotics
While weather markets are an established subcategory in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific city is a relatively niche and novelty topic, far from major events of broad public interest.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
0
YesNo
43.5¢
56.5¢
90¢
10¢
+46.5¢
2
YesNo
29¢
71¢
99¢
+28¢

Expand to view all 5 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
The number of dissenting votes in the FOMC decision directly reflects the degree of division within the Fed regarding monetary policy. Unexpected dissents (e.g., multiple members leaning more hawkish or dovish) shift market expectations for the Fed's future rate path, acting as a crucial indicator alongside the dot plot. This would cause a moderate or higher tradable impact on US Treasury yields, the US Dollar Index, and broader equity markets.

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