Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Elections|$12.3k Vol|
time15 days 23 hrs

Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.23 22:30
Top Undervalued
+7.2¢
DK(Yes)
+4¢
Mi Hazánk(No)
+3.1¢
Momentum(No)

Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place AI analysis: • +7.2¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on March 2026 polling (e.g., 21 Kutatóközpont, Medián), the election is a bi-polar race betwee...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in NYC on March 28?
Weather|$13.7k Vol|
time1 days 11 hrs

Highest temperature in NYC on March 28?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
40-41°F(Yes)
+7.1¢
46-47°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts, the high temperature at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on March 28 is e...
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Movers
March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of 42-43°F rose from 21.5c to 35c, driven by slight upward revisions in some forecast models observing a high-pressure ridge. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of 44-45°F fell from 28c to 15c, and 46-47°F dropped from 22.5c to 7.75c, as the confirmation of lingering cooler air mass prompted traders to aggressively sell off warmer tail-end temperature expectations.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Munich on March 28?
Weather|$10.8k Vol|
time1 days 11 hrs

Highest temperature in Munich on March 28?

Top Undervalued
+7¢
9°C(Yes)
+7¢
10°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological forecasts for Munich (and Munich Airport) on March 28, 2026, ...
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Movers
March 24, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of 10°C surged from a low of 11.5c (on Mar 25) to 31c, driven by a slight warming revision in near-term weather models. March 24, 2026 - March 26, 2026: The price of '5°C or below' plummeted from 22.5c to 3.45c, '6°C' crashed from 16.5c to 2.15c, and '14°C' collapsed from 10.5c to 0.35c. This occurred because, as the resolution date approaches, weather forecasting models converged, eliminating the possibility of extreme cold or unseasonal warmth. The heavily bubbled outlier options naturally corrected towards their fundamental probabilities.
AI Analysis
Illinois Senate Election Winner
Elections|$16.5k Vol|
time220 days 23 hrs

Illinois Senate Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+3¢
Democrat(Yes)
+0.4¢
Republican(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The March 17th primary results reshaped the race: Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, backed by Governor Prit...
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AI Analysis
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Culture|$33.8k Vol|
time278 days 23 hrs

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Top Undervalued
+3¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past few days, the price of the 'Yes' option has gradually retreated from its previous rumo...
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Exotics
This is a highly exotic and gossip-driven 'shipping' market. While both are public figures, linking the Canadian Prime Minister with an American pop star in a betting market is absurd and highly unpredictable, given the lack of any public relationship or intimate interaction.
AI Analysis
FIFA World Cup Group L Winner
Sports|$15.6k Vol|
time91 days 23 hrs

FIFA World Cup Group L Winner

Top Undervalued
+6¢
Croatia(Yes)
+3.2¢
Ghana(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Although England (current price 69.5c) has seen a slight price correction recently, their squad dept...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
DK
YesNo
0.8¢
99.2¢
92¢
+7.2¢
Mi Hazánk
YesNo
89¢
11¢
85¢
15¢
+4¢

Expand to view all 9 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Divergence
Significant divergence. Mainstream polls (Q1 2026) consistently show traditional opposition parties like Jobbik, LMP, and MSZP collapsing well below the 5% threshold, often near 0%. However, the prediction market prices their 'Yes' options at 30-38c, implying the market massively overestimates these 'zombie parties', or this reflects severe mispricing in illiquid independent binary markets.

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