[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest data for the "Idaho Governor Election Winner" market (Volume: $4575.1). Analyze the order book spread depth, and combining this with Idaho's deep red (R+19) political fundamentals, assess whether the current odds for a "Republican" win are priced fairly or if there is a pricing deviation due to low liquidity.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest data for the "Idaho Governor Election Winner" market (Volume: $4575.1). Analyze the order book spread depth, and combining this with Idaho's deep red (R+19) political fundamentals, assess whether the current odds for a "Republican" win are priced fairly or if there is a pricing deviation due to low liquidity.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Rule Pitfall] Addressing the common phenomenon in Idaho politics of "running as an Independent after losing the primary" (e.g., the Ammon Bundy precedent), detailedly interpret the resolution rules: If a candidate with a Republican background ultimately wins the general election as an "Independent", will holding the "Republican" option be ruled as a loss?

AI-powered analysis for: [Rule Pitfall] Addressing the common phenomenon in Idaho politics of "running as an Independent after losing the primary" (e.g., the Ammon Bundy precedent), detailedly interpret the resolution rules: If a candidate with a Republican background ultimately wins the general election as an "Independent", will holding the "Republican" option be ruled as a loss?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Opportunity Cost of Capital] Calculate the actual opportunity cost of locking up capital to buy a "Republican" win until November 3, 2026. Compare the annualized return implied by current market odds against risk-free yields like USDC lending or Treasury bonds to determine if this trade is mathematically superior to holding cash over the multi-month lock-up period.

AI-powered analysis for: [Opportunity Cost of Capital] Calculate the actual opportunity cost of locking up capital to buy a "Republican" win until November 3, 2026. Compare the annualized return implied by current market odds against risk-free yields like USDC lending or Treasury bonds to determine if this trade is mathematically superior to holding cash over the multi-month lock-up period.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Idaho Governor Election Winner

Elections|$7,149 Vol|

182 days 7 hrs

Idaho Governor Election Winner - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.19 16:15

Top Undervalued

+2.3¢

Republican(Yes)

+1.6¢

Democrat(No)

Idaho Governor Election Winner AI analysis: • +2.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Idaho is a deeply red state and a Republican stronghold. Incumbent Republican Governor Brad Little i...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Republican

YesNo

95.7¢

4.3¢

98¢

2¢

+2.3¢

0¢

Democrat

YesNo

2.65¢

97.35¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+1.6¢

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.