Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$20.7k Vol|
time29 days 11 hrs

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner - AI Found +20¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.28 17:16
Top Undervalued
+20¢
Zach Wahls(Yes)
+18.5¢
Josh Turek(No)
+0.4¢
Nathan Sage(No)

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner AI analysis: • +20¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past week, Zach Wahls' price has retreated from 65c to 48c, while Josh Turek's price has cl...
🔓 Log in to see more

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Culture|$21.4k Vol|
time1 days 11 hrs

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+69¢
Should I Marry A Murderer?(No)
+38¢
Man on Fire: Season 1(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current sum of 'Yes' prices across all options is approximately 144c, indicating significant ove...
🔓 Log in to see more
Movers
April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Man on Fire: Season 1' surged from ~26.5c to around 60.5c as viewership data heading into the weekend showed it taking a commanding lead for the #1 spot. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Should I Marry A Murderer?' saw a sharp spike from 10c to a peak of 45c before settling at 32.5c, reflecting sudden viral momentum and a market repricing of its competitive chances. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Running Point: Season 2' dropped from 42.5c to ~30.5c, losing its frontrunner status as competing shows gained stronger late-week traction.
AI Analysis
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?
Politics|$47.0k Vol|
time1 days 11 hrs

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

Top Undervalued
+0.4¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only 2 days left until the resolution date and the current price having dropped to 1.2c, the ma...
🔓 Log in to see more
Exotics
This is a highly specific, gossip-driven political market. Unless there is breaking legal news regarding him, the general public does not typically speculate on whether a former FBI Director will have a mugshot released within a specific week, making it quite novel and exotic.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 4?
Weather|$15.4k Vol|
time23 hrs 51 mins

Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+18¢
78-79°F(No)
+15.5¢
76-77°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Atlanta on May 4 is expected to b...
🔓 Log in to see more
Exotics
While betting on daily temperatures in specific cities is a standard offering on specialized prediction markets, it remains a relatively niche and slightly unconventional topic for the broader general public.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Zach Wahls
YesNo
28¢
72¢
48¢
52¢
+20¢
Josh Turek
YesNo
64.5¢
35.5¢
46¢
54¢
+18.5¢

Expand to view all 4 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 25, 2026 - April 28, 2026, Zach Wahls' price dropped from 65.5c to 48c (-17.5c), while Josh Turek's price surged from 30.5c to 46.5c (+16c). As the primary nears, shifting campaign dynamics prompted a reassessment of both candidates' chances, pulling the market back from a Wahls lean to a near dead-heat. April 6, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Zach Wahls' price steadily climbed from 56.5c to 60.5c, while Josh Turek's price further declined from 39.5c to 35.5c. The reason is that as the primary approaches, market capital is accelerating its concentration on the frontrunner Wahls, confirming his competitive edge. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, Zach Wahls' price plummeted from 51c to 37.5c (-13.5c) due to short-term campaign volatility or negative news triggering panic selling, though it quickly rebounded to 42c, showing strong support. March 9, 2026 - March 13, 2026, the market entered a plateau, with Josh Turek holding at 65c and Zach Wahls at 33c, showing no significant volatility as the market fully digested the February turbulence and established a new equilibrium. February 10, 2026 - February 11, 2026, Josh Turek's price rebounded from 41.5c to 49c (+7.5c) while Wahls held steady. The market corrected from the initial shock of Wahls' fundraising news and repriced Turek's high floor as the DSCC-backed establishment pick. February 9, 2026 - February 10, 2026, Zach Wahls' price surged from 41c to 48c (+7c) due to reports that he outraised Turek in 2025, solidifying his momentum narrative.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets