Israel military action against Yemen by...?
World|$1.7m Vol|
time57 days 21 hrs

Israel military action against Yemen by...? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 1 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
May 31(No)

Israel military action against Yemen by...? AI analysis: • +0.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Since the April 30 deadline has passed without any qualifying airstrike, the fair value of April 30 ...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 3?
Weather|$28.9k Vol|
time9 hrs 27 mins

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
30°C(Yes)
+7.5¢
28°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecast data, there will be light rain in Shenzhen (near Bao'an Int...
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Exotics
While predicting the daily high temperature for a specific city is somewhat niche, weather data prediction is a recurring category on prediction markets. It's not extremely bizarre, though rarely a focus for the general public.
AI Analysis
How is the final highest temperature determined using the Wunderground history page for Shenzhen Bao'an Airport (ZGSZ) on May 3, and what are the exact rules for whole-degree resolution if decimals or data revisions occur?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 3?
Weather|$20.2k Vol|
time9 hrs 27 mins

Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+19.5¢
22°C(No)
+16.5¢
25°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market prices indicate that 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C have the highest probabilities, cluster...
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Exotics
Betting on the exact highest temperature (to the whole degree) of a specific city on a given day is a very niche and novelty market. Ordinary people rarely think about or forecast such highly specific meteorological outcomes.
AI Analysis
Explain in simple terms how the highest temperature in Chongqing on May 3 will be determined. Will it affect the result if Wunderground revises the data afterwards?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
Weather|$24.9k Vol|
time9 hrs 27 mins

Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+24.6¢
23°C(No)
+20.4¢
26°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Chengdu (Shuangliu International ...
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Exotics
This is a prediction market targeting the specific high temperature of a single day in Chengdu. Aside from local residents or specialized weather derivative traders, the general public rarely thinks about or predicts this specific data point, giving it a moderate level of novelty and exoticism.
Divergence
Current market prices imply a high temperature of 25°C to 26°C, but most weather forecast platforms (such as Google and AccuWeather data) predict a high between 23°C and 24°C. Market participants may be pricing in urban heat island effects or an upward trend in temperatures before forecast updates.
AI Analysis
Explain the Wunderground resolution rules and Celsius rounding conditions for the Chengdu May 3 highest temperature market in the simplest terms.
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
Weather|$41.1k Vol|
time9 hrs 27 mins

Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+19.5¢
21°C(No)
+14.5¢
24°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airp...
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AI Analysis
Are there any known risks of data delay when Wunderground updates the historical temperature records for the Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) station?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
Weather|$22.2k Vol|
time9 hrs 27 mins

Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+32.5¢
25°C(No)
+23.5¢
23°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to major weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather, AccuWeather), the highest temperature at...
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AI Analysis
When will the Wunderground data for the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe Airport on May 3 be officially finalized?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
May 31
YesNo
15.5¢
84.5¢
15¢
85¢
0¢
+0.5¢
June 30
YesNo
28¢
72¢
28¢
72¢
0¢
0¢

Expand to view all 3 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
Gold
Crude Oil
ZIM
A direct Israeli strike on Yemen (Houthis) would significantly escalate the Red Sea shipping crisis, directly threatening a key oil transit chokepoint (Bab el-Mandeb), making Crude Oil the most impacted asset. Gold would benefit as a safe haven. Additionally, shipping stocks (like ZIM) are highly sensitive to Red Sea tensions; escalation typically drives up freight rates and thus stock prices.

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