Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Politics|$202.4k Vol|
time10 days 22 hrs

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.28 08:00
Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(Yes)

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? AI analysis: • +0.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
As the May 15 resolution date approaches, the market price (under 1c) further solidifies the reality...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office
Culture|$106.8k Vol|
time10 hrs 20 mins

"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office

Top Undervalued
+1¢
>55m(No)
+0.5¢
50-55m(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market prices indicate that the second-weekend box office for 'Michael' is hovering right ar...
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Movers
May 2, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the >55m option's price fluctuated, rising from 29.5c to a peak of 70.9c before settling in the 53.5c-59.5c range, as actual weekend performance indicated potential for a higher gross, causing the market to reprice this bracket. May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026, the price of the 50-55m option surged from 23.5c to a peak of 84.5c, while the 35-40m and 40-45m options plummeted to around 1c. This was driven by strong Friday box office estimates (around $14M), which caused market expectations for the second weekend gross to be significantly upgraded to over $50M.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 4?
Weather|$26.7k Vol|
time10 hrs 20 mins

Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+29¢
27°C(Yes)
+18.3¢
26°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature at Chengdu Shuangliu Internationa...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?
Weather|$18.5k Vol|
time10 hrs 20 mins

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+23.5¢
22°C(No)
+7.5¢
24°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts (e.g., Wunderground, AccuWeather, TimeAndDate) predict the highest temperat...
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Exotics
Predicting the daily temperature of a specific city is a typical weather prediction market. It is less mainstream than political elections or macroeconomic indicators but not extremely bizarre, having a certain niche audience.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
0.5¢
99.5¢
99¢
+0.5¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This is a specific political appointment prediction. While not extremely bizarre, compared to general election results, the withdrawal of a specific nominee is a niche topic driven by specific political maneuvering.
Hedging
US 10Y Yield
The appointment of the Fed Chair is critical for the macro economy. Kevin Warsh is often viewed as hawkish or less interventionist. If his nomination is withdrawn, it could imply a more dovish replacement or increased political uncertainty. This would directly impact US Treasury Yields (US 10Y Yield) and the Dollar Index (DXY). If the withdrawal is due to scandal or severe political conflict, it could introduce short-term volatility to equities.

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