Apr 24, 2026 - Apr 26, 2026, the price of 'June 30' surged from 25c to 43.5c, as renewed fears of a potential Labour disaster in the approaching May local elections fueled strong bets on an immediate post-election coup. Apr 21, 2026 - Apr 22, 2026, the price of 'June 30' fell from 34c to 22.5c, as market sentiment cooled after the recent coup panic, with traders perceiving a lower likelihood of an imminent substantive challenge. Apr 16, 2026 - Apr 17, 2026, the price of 'June 30' surged from 14.5c to 40c, due to intensified internal concerns over a potential disaster for Labour in the May local elections, fueling coup expectations. Apr 03, 2026 - Apr 06, 2026, the price of 'June 30' fell significantly from 31c to 13c, driven by mainstream political reporting revealing that Labour MPs are unlikely to launch a leadership challenge even if the party loses heavily in May, coupled with Starmer enacting popular base-pleasing policies. Mar 27, 2026 - Mar 29, 2026, the price of 'June 30' fell from 55c to 40c, because as the end of March approached without any substantive challenge, traders reduced their risk exposure. Mar 13, 2026 - Mar 14, 2026, the price of 'June 30' plummeted from 36.5c to 24c, as key mid-March political hurdles passed without incident. Feb 22, 2026 - Feb 25, 2026, the price of 'June 30' dropped from 43c to 33c, as the market entered a cooling-off period, ignoring the high risk of the by-election. Feb 09, 2026 - Feb 10, 2026, the price of 'March 31' plummeted from 17.7c to 5.6c, because Starmer stabilized the situation following a Cabinet crisis, leading to a sell-off of 'immediate exit' bets.