[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest IPO pricing range news for Liftoff Mobile, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the odds distribution and capital flow for each market cap bracket (especially 5.25B-5.50B vs 5.50B+), and combine this with the outstanding share count from the S-1 filing to update the fair value projection and potential arbitrage space for the Day 1 closing market cap.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest IPO pricing range news for Liftoff Mobile, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the odds distribution and capital flow for each market cap bracket (especially 5.25B-5.50B vs 5.50B+), and combine this with the outstanding share count from the S-1 filing to update the fair value projection and potential arbitrage space for the Day 1 closing market cap.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Awareness & Verification] Key Variables Confirmation (Share Count Check): Search for Liftoff Mobile's latest SEC S-1/A filing amendments to confirm the exact 'Shares Outstanding' post-offering. Using the formula (Market Cap = Share Price × Share Count), calculate which option brackets (e.g., 4.75B vs 5.00B) the result would shift between with a $0.50 fluctuation in share price.

AI-powered analysis for: [Awareness & Verification] Key Variables Confirmation (Share Count Check): Search for Liftoff Mobile's latest SEC S-1/A filing amendments to confirm the exact 'Shares Outstanding' post-offering. Using the formula (Market Cap = Share Price × Share Count), calculate which option brackets (e.g., 4.75B vs 5.00B) the result would shift between with a $0.50 fluctuation in share price.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Analysis & Reasoning] Historical Fractal Comparison (Sector IPO Performance): Search for the Day 1 IPO performance data of similar companies in the mobile ad-tech or app marketing sector (e.g., AppLovin, ironSource). In the current 2026 market sentiment, does this sector typically experience a 'Day 1 Pop' or a 'Drop', and use this to infer the probability of Liftoff Mobile's closing market cap breaking the 5.50B+ threshold.

AI-powered analysis for: [Analysis & Reasoning] Historical Fractal Comparison (Sector IPO Performance): Search for the Day 1 IPO performance data of similar companies in the mobile ad-tech or app marketing sector (e.g., AppLovin, ironSource). In the current 2026 market sentiment, does this sector typically experience a 'Day 1 Pop' or a 'Drop', and use this to infer the probability of Liftoff Mobile's closing market cap breaking the 5.50B+ threshold.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Business|$93.3k Vol|

12 days 6 hrs

Liftoff Mobile IPO Closing Market Cap - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

4.25B–4.50B

YesNo

3.15¢

96.85¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+3.1¢

No IPO before April 2026

YesNo

95.9¢

4.1¢

99¢

1¢

+3.1¢

0¢

4.50B–4.75B

YesNo

1.75¢

98.25¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+1.7¢

4.75B–5.00B

YesNo

1.75¢

98.25¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+1.7¢

5.25B–5.50B

YesNo

1.4¢

98.6¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+1.4¢

<4.25B

YesNo

1.25¢

98.75¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+1.2¢

5.50B+

YesNo

1.05¢

98.95¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+1¢

5.00B–5.25B

YesNo

0.65¢

99.35¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+0.6¢

AI Insights:

14 hours ago Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

Liftoff Mobile officially postponed its scheduled IPO on February 5, 2026, and subsequently announced a 'confidential submission' of a draft S-1 to the SEC on February 17. This move indicates a restart of the process or a strategic delay rather than an imminent listing. SEC rules require a public filing at least 15 days prior to the roadshow. As of March 18, no such public filing has occurred, making it physically impossible to clear the 15-day window, complete a roadshow, and price the IPO by the March 31 deadline. Thus, 'No IPO' is a virtual certainty.

Sign up to view more information

Liftoff Mobile IPO Closing Market Cap - AI Odds Analysis

AI Insights:

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

Markets

AI Insights

Tools & subscriptions

Community

Policies & security

Partner