AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 15 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
Mika Biereth(No)
+0.5¢
Mason Greenwood(No)
+0.4¢
Esteban Lepaul(No)
Ligue 1: Top Goalscorer AI analysis: • +0.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest data, with the Ligue 1 season nearing its end (less than a month remaining), Est...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Mika Biereth
YesNo
0.6¢
99.4¢
0¢
100¢
0¢
+0.6¢
Mason Greenwood
YesNo
15.5¢
84.5¢
15¢
85¢
0¢
+0.5¢
Expand to view all 37 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
Significant rule trap exists, specifically the tie-breaker mechanism. While standard sports betting applies 'Dead Heat' rules (splitting the pot) for top scorer ties, this market dictates that in a tie, the winner is determined by 'whose last name comes first alphabetically.' This means if Player A and Player B score the same amount, a bettor on Player B could lose 100% simply due to the alphabet, contradicting common sports betting logic and posing a high risk for users who skip the fine print.
Movers
April 29, 2026 - May 1, 2026, Esteban Lepaul's price steadily climbed from 64.8c to 84.05c, because his lead became more secure as the number of remaining league matches decreased, and his pursuers failed to effectively close the gap in recent games.
April 27, 2026 - April 29, 2026, Esteban Lepaul's price retraced from 81.15c to 64.8c, as the market realized that while he leads (with 17-18 goals), the gap with Mason Greenwood (15 goals) is not insurmountable, correcting the overreaction from his recent goal.
April 26, 2026 - April 27, 2026, Esteban Lepaul's price surged from 59.8c to 81.15c, while Mason Greenwood's price crashed from 37.5c to 16.5c. This is likely because Lepaul scored in the weekend fixtures, widening the gap on the top scorers list and significantly mitigating Greenwood's tiebreaker advantage.
April 20, 2026 - April 22, 2026, Mason Greenwood's price surged from 20c to 36.5c, likely because he scored crucial goals in recent matches to close the gap or tie for the lead, prompting the market to reprice his absolute advantage in the tiebreaker rule.
April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Esteban Lepaul's price dropped from 54.6c to 44.4c, because his rival Mason Greenwood narrowed the goal gap recently, and Lepaul is at a disadvantage in the tiebreaker rule, causing the market to lose some confidence in his sole victory.
April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026, Bradley Barcola's price fell from 14.2c to 5.4c, likely due to the fading of speculative buying from the previous day.
April 2, 2026 - April 3, 2026, Esteban Lepaul's price dropped from 34.9c to 30.5c, and subsequently to 25.5c on the 4th, reflecting increased difficulty in catching the leader.
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Mason Greenwood's price surged from 32.5c to 62c, as the market realized his lead and absolute advantage in the tiebreaker rule.
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Joaquin Panichelli's price crashed from 38.6c to 4.75c, due to his disadvantage in the tiebreaker rule and likely failing to score in recent matches (later confirmed as season-ending ACL injury).
March 18, 2026 - March 19, 2026, Desire Doue's price crashed from 29c to 12c, and Esteban Lepaul dropped from 28.5c to 18.7c. The reason is likely a market correction following the previous days' irrational spikes.
March 16, 2026 - March 18, 2026, Desire Doue's price surged from 1c to 29c, and Esteban Lepaul spiked from 11c to 29c. The reason was likely speculative pumping in a low-liquidity environment.