[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'Los Angeles Mayoral Election 2026' market, specifically analyzing the liquidity depth for incumbent Karen Bass versus challengers like Rick Caruso, and update the risk assessment based on the current $53k trading volume.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'Los Angeles Mayoral Election 2026' market, specifically analyzing the liquidity depth for incumbent Karen Bass versus challengers like Rick Caruso, and update the risk assessment based on the current $53k trading volume.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search for the latest polling data from the Los Angeles Times or UC Berkeley IGS regarding the 2026 Mayoral race to determine if there is a significant discrepancy between public opinion polling and the current implied odds for candidates like Nithya Raman or Spencer Pratt.

AI-powered analysis for: Search for the latest polling data from the Los Angeles Times or UC Berkeley IGS regarding the 2026 Mayoral race to determine if there is a significant discrepancy between public opinion polling and the current implied odds for candidates like Nithya Raman or Spencer Pratt.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Calculate the opportunity cost of capital for this event: If no candidate achieves a majority (>50%) on June 2, 2026, leading to a November runoff, is the potential ROI sufficient to justify locking up funds for an additional 5 months compared to risk-free DeFi yields?

AI-powered analysis for: Calculate the opportunity cost of capital for this event: If no candidate achieves a majority (>50%) on June 2, 2026, leading to a November runoff, is the potential ROI sufficient to justify locking up funds for an additional 5 months compared to risk-free DeFi yields?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Politics|$1.0m Vol|

30 days 0 hrs

Los Angeles Mayoral Election - AI Found 46.7% APY

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 9 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+21.5¢

Spencer Pratt(No)

Arbitrage Opportunity

4¢

Arbitrage

46.7%

Annualized yield

Los Angeles Mayoral Election AI analysis: • +21.5¢ undervalued • 46.7% arbitrage APY • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Arbitrage Plan:

Buy Yes shares for all candidates Plan Description: The sum of all Yes prices across all candidates is currently around 96.3c. By purchasing one Yes sha...

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Undervalued Options Insights:

The core competition for the Los Angeles mayoral election remains between incumbent Karen Bass and l...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Spencer Pratt

YesNo

21.5¢

78.5¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+21.5¢

Nithya Raman

YesNo

49.5¢

50.5¢

64¢

36¢

+14.5¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Divergence

The prediction market currently prices Spencer Pratt at a 21.5% chance of winning and significantly undervalues Karen Bass. In mainstream media and serious political analysis, incumbent Karen Bass and challenger Nithya Raman are the only candidates with a viable path to victory. Pratt's high probability is a severe distortion caused by crypto-native meme sentiment and extremely poor liquidity, representing a classic deviation of the prediction market from mainstream political reality.