Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on April 27?
Weather|$11.5k Vol|
time9 hrs 14 mins

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on April 27? - AI Found +66.7¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.25 06:28
Top Undervalued
+66.7¢
23°C(No)
+34.8¢
24°C(Yes)
+19.5¢
25°C(Yes)

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on April 27? AI analysis: • +66.7¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest 9-day weather forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory, the minimum temperatu...
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Highest temperature in Seattle on April 27?
Weather|$22.4k Vol|
time9 hrs 14 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 27?

Top Undervalued
+15¢
60-61°F(No)
+13.3¢
56-57°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecast for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 27, 2026, predi...
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Divergence
There is a slight divergence in expectations. The market currently prices the '60-61°F' option highest at 18¢, implying it is the favorite. However, the latest meteorological models (e.g., Weather25 and Time and Date) forecast high temperatures peaking at 58°F or 59°F, making the '58-59°F' range fundamentally more likely to occur.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 27?
Weather|$244.9k Vol|
time9 hrs 14 mins

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 27?

Top Undervalued
+74¢
19°C(No)
+42.9¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 12 hours left until resolution, market pricing is highly concentrated around 18°C (4...
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Rule Risk
While the title mentions Seoul, the rules explicitly state that the resolution relies on data from the Incheon Intl Airport station. Incheon is coastal, and its temperatures often differ from downtown Seoul, which could easily mislead traders who do not read the fine print.
Movers
April 25, 2026 - April 26, 2026, the price of the 18°C option surged from 14.5c to 42.5c, while the 20°C option experienced heavy volatility, dropping from 14.5c to 8c before spiking to 23c and falling back to 14c. The 19°C option rose from 17c to 28.5c before dropping to 13.5c. This was caused by the release of updated short-term weather models as the resolution date neared, prompting traders to reallocate their positions around specific temperature ranges.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 27?
Weather|$17.5k Vol|
time9 hrs 14 mins

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 27?

Top Undervalued
+18¢
15°C(Yes)
+17.5¢
17°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, Buenos Aires (Ezeiza Airport) will experience the initial...
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Exotics
Predicting the highest daily temperature of a specific city on a particular date is highly niche. Aside from locals or meteorology enthusiasts, the general public rarely considers this, making it quite a novel and exotic market.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
23°C
YesNo
96.7¢
3.3¢
30¢
70¢
+66.7¢
24°C
YesNo
0.2¢
99.8¢
35¢
65¢
+34.8¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

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