Lowest temperature in London on April 29?
Weather|$10.2k Vol|
time0 s

Lowest temperature in London on April 29? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 4 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
8°C(Yes)
+0.5¢
9°C(No)
+0.4¢
7°C(No)

Lowest temperature in London on April 29? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
As of the morning of April 29, 2026, the lowest temperature for the day in London has likely already...
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Highest temperature in Seoul on April 30?
Weather|$38.3k Vol|
time23 hrs 34 mins

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 30?

Top Undervalued
+40.3¢
20°C or higher(No)
+17.5¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Incheon International Airport on...
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Rule Risk
The title asks for Seoul's highest temperature, but the rules explicitly mandate using data from the Incheon Intl Airport Station. Since Incheon and central Seoul can have temperature differences, and data is rounded to whole degrees Celsius, traders who do not read the rules carefully face a significant risk of misjudgment.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 30?
Weather|$13.3k Vol|
time23 hrs 34 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 30?

Top Undervalued
+28.9¢
64°F or higher(No)
+9.5¢
62-63°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature in Seattle (KSEA) on April 30, 2026, ...
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Divergence
Weather forecasts consistently indicate that the high temperature in Seattle on April 30 will reach 66-72°F, which clearly falls into the '64°F or higher' range [2, 5, 8]. However, the implied probability in the prediction market for this option is only 54.5%. This divergence is likely due to some traders relying on earlier, cooler weather trends or not having updated forecast information. As the date approaches and forecasts become more certain, the market price should converge with mainstream meteorological predictions.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
8°C
YesNo
0.45¢
99.55¢
99¢
+0.6¢
9°C
YesNo
99.5¢
0.5¢
99¢
+0.5¢

Expand to view all 7 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
From 2026-04-28 23:43 to 2026-04-29 04:03, the Yes price for 9°C surged from 48.5c to 96.25c, while 8°C plummeted from 53c to 3.9c, and 7°C crashed from 36.65c to 0.15c. The reason is that as the early morning of April 29 arrived, actual meteorological observations showed temperatures did not drop to 8°C or below as previously anticipated, effectively locking the minimum at 9°C and causing the market to rapidly price in this certainty.

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