What are the exact resolution rules for this market regarding the Wunderground data for LaGuardia Airport, and how does it handle data revisions after finalizing the lowest temperature for May 3?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the exact resolution rules for this market regarding the Wunderground data for LaGuardia Airport, and how does it handle data revisions after finalizing the lowest temperature for May 3?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on current short-term meteorological forecasts for NYC, what potential weather catalysts within the next 48 hours could significantly shift the probability of the lowest temperature falling into a specific bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on current short-term meteorological forecasts for NYC, what potential weather catalysts within the next 48 hours could significantly shift the probability of the lowest temperature falling into a specific bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the very low total volume (around $388) in this NYC temperature market, how can I safely employ a 'stink bid' strategy across different temperature brackets to catch sudden liquidity gaps or forecast panics?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the very low total volume (around $388) in this NYC temperature market, how can I safely employ a 'stink bid' strategy across different temperature brackets to catch sudden liquidity gaps or forecast panics?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Lowest temperature in NYC on May 3?

Weather|$10.6k Vol|

7 hrs 18 mins

Lowest temperature in NYC on May 3? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.02 23:55

Top Undervalued

+6¢

44-45°F(Yes)

+6¢

42-43°F(Yes)

+5¢

48-49°F(No)

Lowest temperature in NYC on May 3? AI analysis: • +6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

With only 12 hours left until settlement, the latest market trading prices indicate that the 46-47°F...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

44-45°F

YesNo

22¢

78¢

28¢

72¢

+6¢

0¢

42-43°F

YesNo

9¢

91¢

15¢

85¢

+6¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

Predicting the exact daily low temperature bracket for a specific city is a relatively niche but not extremely bizarre market, commonly seen in specialized weather betting fields.

Movers

Between 14:03 and 20:33 on May 2, 2026, the Yes price for the 44-45°F option plummeted from 36c to 11c, mainly due to the latest weather model updates indicating a warmer minimum temperature, thus lowering the probability of this bracket. Between 22:53 on May 1 and 01:03 on May 2, 2026, the Yes price for the 46-47°F option surged from 25c to 74.5c. This was because weather forecasts during this period showed a slowing cooling trend, suggesting the minimum temperature might stay at a higher level, though the price subsequently began to retreat.