Explain the resolution rules for this market in simple terms, specifically how the Wunderground Incheon Airport (RKSI) data is used and how the whole degrees Celsius precision determines the winning temperature bracket.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution rules for this market in simple terms, specifically how the Wunderground Incheon Airport (RKSI) data is used and how the whole degrees Celsius precision determines the winning temperature bracket.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the current meteorological models for April 23, how predictable is the lowest temperature at Incheon Airport, and could sudden weather changes (like a cold front) invalidate current projected brackets?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the current meteorological models for April 23, how predictable is the lowest temperature at Incheon Airport, and could sudden weather changes (like a cold front) invalidate current projected brackets?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the latest local weather forecast for Incheon on April 23, which temperature option represents the current 'fair value', and at what odds should I place a limit order to maintain a profitable edge?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the latest local weather forecast for Incheon on April 23, which temperature option represents the current 'fair value', and at what odds should I place a limit order to maintain a profitable edge?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 23?

Weather|$16.6k Vol|

19 hrs 55 mins

Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 23? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 2 minutes ago

Top Undervalued

+6.5¢

8°C(Yes)

+2.8¢

11°C(No)

+1.9¢

12°C(Yes)

Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 23? AI analysis: • +6.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to the latest weather forecasts, the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport ...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

8°C

YesNo

8.5¢

91.5¢

15¢

85¢

+6.5¢

0¢

11°C

YesNo

12.8¢

87.2¢

10¢

90¢

0¢

+2.8¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Rule Risk

The market title asks for the temperature in 'Seoul', but the resolution criteria explicitly specify the measurement from the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station' (RKSI). Incheon is a different city with a coastal climate, often resulting in temperature variations compared to central Seoul. Users relying on generic Seoul forecasts will fall into a significant trap.

Movers

Between Apr 22, 06:08 and Apr 22, 15:53, the price of the 10°C option surged from 14.5c to 37.5c before settling at 29.0c, driven by updated weather models and short-term forecast adjustments repositioning market expectations. Between Apr 22, 02:53 and Apr 22, 15:53, the 11°C option briefly spiked from 9.0c to 20.5c before retracing to 12.8c, reflecting temporary speculative bets on a slightly warmer overnight low. Between Apr 21, 07:18 and Apr 21, 10:33, the 7°C option plunged from 25.5c to 5.5c, as updated meteorological reports ruled out extreme cooling scenarios. Between Apr 21, 07:18 and Apr 21, 10:33, the 8°C option dropped heavily from 25.5c to 11.5c, similarly reflecting the warmer temperature revisions in the forecast data.