Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 28?
Weather|$11.8k Vol|
time5 hrs 22 mins

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 28? - AI Found +15.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 1 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+15.5¢
14°C(Yes)
+8¢
13°C(Yes)
+6.6¢
12°C(No)

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 28? AI analysis: • +15.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
As the current time (4:58 AM UTC on April 28) corresponds to 12:58 PM local time in Shanghai, the da...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
Weather|$36.3k Vol|
time5 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Ankara on April 28?

Top Undervalued
+44.5¢
20°C(No)
+29.5¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Ankara (specifically the Çubuk a...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature of a specific city is a niche quantitative market. While common in specialized weather prediction platforms, it is somewhat of a novelty for the general public compared to mainstream political or sports betting.
Divergence
The market currently favors 20°C (35% implied probability), whereas mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Google, AccuWeather) predict a high of around 18°C (64°F). There is a slight divergence where the market overestimates the temperature, potentially due to earlier forecast shifts or speculative trading.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 28?
Weather|$25.0k Vol|
time5 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 28?

Top Undervalued
+7.5¢
58-59°F(Yes)
+4¢
54-55°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from Wunderground and other weather services (like AccuWeather) fo...
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Movers
April 26, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price of the 58-59°F option surged from 19.5c to 50.5c, as short-term meteorological models zeroed in on an expected high near 58°F. April 26, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of the 56-57°F option climbed from 21c to 39c, as some forecasting sources predicted thick cloud cover could cap temperatures around 56°F. April 26, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price of the 62-63°F option plummeted from 20c to around 1c, as the approaching date ruled out the possibility of actual temperatures breaking above 60°F.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 28?
Weather|$34.0k Vol|
time5 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Chicago on April 28?

Top Undervalued
0¢
37°F or below(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts and market trading data, the highest temperature at Chicago O'...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Denver on April 28?
Weather|$16.0k Vol|
time5 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Denver on April 28?

Top Undervalued
+2.8¢
50°F or higher(No)
+0.9¢
46-47°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts from multiple sources (including the NWS and major commercial ...
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Rule Risk
The title says 'Denver', but the resolution rules explicitly specify the data source as Buckley Space Force Base Station (KBKF) in Aurora, rather than the widely used Denver International Airport (KDEN). Temperatures between these locations can differ slightly but critically, creating a notable trap for careless traders.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Austin on April 28?
Weather|$52.5k Vol|
time5 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Austin on April 28?

Top Undervalued
+11¢
90-91°F(No)
+4.6¢
88-89°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the 7-day forecast from the National Weather Service (NWS) specifically for the Austin-...
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Exotics
Predicting the specific temperature range (down to a 2-degree Fahrenheit bucket) for a particular city on a given day is a relatively niche and novel segment in prediction markets. While weather forecasts are everyday matters, this high-precision short-term climate betting isn't as mainstream as elections or asset prices.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
14°C
YesNo
14.5¢
85.5¢
30¢
70¢
+15.5¢
13°C
YesNo
47¢
53¢
55¢
45¢
+8¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Between April 27 and April 28, 2026, the Yes price for 13°C surged from 32c to 46.5c, while 14°C dropped from 37c to 28.5c. This was caused by the sharp reduction in uncertainty as actual early morning temperature data became available. Between April 26 and April 27, 2026, the price of 12°C spiked from 14c to 39c before plummeting back to 8c. Similarly, 11°C saw a rollercoaster movement from 3c to 23c and back to 4c. This was due to divergence in early weather forecasting models regarding the intensity of a cold front, which was subsequently corrected by short-term localized forecasts.

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