Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
Weather|$10.9k Vol|
time15 hrs 48 mins

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 2? - AI Found +23¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.30 06:07
Top Undervalued
+23¢
15°C(Yes)
+14.5¢
14°C(No)
+13¢
13°C(No)

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 2? AI analysis: • +23¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the lowest temperature for Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) on May...
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Highest temperature in Houston on May 3?
Weather|$11.8k Vol|
time1 days 15 hrs

Highest temperature in Houston on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+27¢
80-81°F(No)
+27¢
76-77°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast for Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), th...
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Exotics
While weather prediction markets are not uncommon on some platforms, predicting the exact temperature range for a specific city on a specific day remains a relatively niche and unconventional topic for the general public.
Divergence
There is a significant divergence. The prediction market is currently assigning a combined probability of 46% (21c and 25c) to temperatures 80°F and above. However, the official NWS and local forecasts explicitly project the high for May 3 to be around 76-78°F. The market is significantly overestimating the likelihood of temperatures reaching 80°F+, likely due to stale long-range forecast data that traders have not yet updated.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 2?
Weather|$16.6k Vol|
time15 hrs 48 mins

Highest temperature in Ankara on May 2?

Top Undervalued
+17¢
7°C(No)
+12.5¢
9°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at Ankara Esenboğa Intl Airport (Çub...
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Exotics
While predicting the daily high temperature of a specific city is occasionally discussed in daily life, betting on it to the exact whole degree remains a relatively niche and novel market category.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
15°C
YesNo
0.05¢
99.95¢
23¢
77¢
+23¢
14°C
YesNo
40.5¢
59.5¢
26¢
74¢
+14.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

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