Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24?
Weather|$101.4k Vol|
time22 hrs 51 mins

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 13 minutes ago
Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
15°C(No)
+3¢
14°C(No)
+1.5¢
12°C or below(No)

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24? AI analysis: • +3.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the lowest temperature for Tokyo Haneda Airport on May 24 is ...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Beijing on May 24?
Weather|$18.2k Vol|
time22 hrs 51 mins

Highest temperature in Beijing on May 24?

Top Undervalued
+7¢
30°C(No)
+4¢
27°C or below(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts (including Wunderground and other sources), the highest te...
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AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria for this market in simple terms, especially how the Wunderground temperature data for Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) is rounded to whole degrees Celsius and when it is finalized.
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
World|$127.3k Vol|
time221 days 10 hrs

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Top Undervalued
+7.2¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past week, the price of the 'Yes' option fluctuated slightly between 7.35c and 10.95c, curr...
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Exotics
Alberta separatism (Wexit) is a longstanding political topic, not a fabrication. However, the likelihood of a legally binding independence referendum actually taking place and passing by 2026 is low, making it a known political tail-risk event rather than a mainstream certainty.
Hedging
S&P/TSX Composite
Crude Oil
CAD/USD
Alberta is Canada's energy heartland. A vote for independence would deliver a massive political and economic shock to the Canadian Dollar (CAD), causing significant exchange rate volatility. Additionally, given Alberta's vast oil reserves, political uncertainty could impact short-term North American crude supply expectations or pricing. The Canadian stock market (S&P/TSX) would also face severe turbulence due to geopolitical fragmentation risks.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest polling on Alberta separatism and UCP policy updates, analyze the ~$14.5k order book depth on Polymarket, and assess if the current odds accurately reflect the likelihood of a referendum occurring before the 2026 deadline.
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 24?
Weather|$12.4k Vol|
time22 hrs 51 mins

Highest temperature in Taipei on May 24?

Top Undervalued
+26.5¢
37°C or higher(No)
+12¢
33°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather, AccuWeather), the highest temperature i...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact highest temperature for a specific city on a given day is somewhat niche. While weather prediction markets are an established subcategory, the general public rarely fixates on predicting the exact daily high at a specific weather station unless extreme weather is expected.
AI Analysis
How reliable is the Wunderground data for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station (RCSS), and how does the whole-degree Celsius rounding rule affect borderline temperatures like 30.5°C?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 24?
Weather|$11.2k Vol|
time22 hrs 51 mins

Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 24?

Top Undervalued
+5.5¢
26°C(Yes)
+4.5¢
29°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature in Warsaw on May 24, 2026, is exp...
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Movers
May 22, 2026 - May 23, 2026, the price of the 28°C option surged from 22c to 37c because, as the target date approached, weather forecasting models revised their high-temperature estimates upwards, leading to significant capital inflows into this option. No other options have experienced a price movement of more than 10 cents in the last 3 days.
AI Analysis
Is the Wunderground history page for Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) updating reliably, and how exactly is the highest temperature rounded to a whole degree Celsius?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 24?
Weather|$16.2k Vol|
time22 hrs 51 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on May 24?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
31°C(No)
+2¢
32°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the expected high temperature for Milan Malpensa Airport ...
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Exotics
A standard niche prediction. While weather forecasting is universally common, betting on the exact integer degree of a daily high at a specific airport falls outside mainstream public interest, mainly attracting weather enthusiasts or data modelers.
Movers
May 22, 2026 - May 23, 2026, the price of the 31°C option surged from 26.5c to 37.5c, as updated meteorological forecasts closer to the resolution date strongly confirmed the high temperature is likely to hit exactly 31°C.
AI Analysis
Check the Wunderground history page for Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC) to confirm exactly when the daily highest temperature data for May 24 is finalized, and check for any potential risks of data delay or halted updates.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
15°C
YesNo
40.5¢
59.5¢
37¢
63¢
0¢
+3.5¢
14°C
YesNo
38¢
62¢
35¢
65¢
0¢
+3¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Between May 22, 2026, and May 23, 2026, the prices of the '15°C' and '14°C' options surged to 40.5c and 38c respectively, while '16°C' dropped from 24.5c to 9.5c. The reason is that as the resolution approaches, weather forecasts became more precise, locking the lowest temperature expectation into the 14-15°C range. Between May 21, 2026, and May 22, 2026, the price of the '18°C' option plummeted from 21.5c to 1.65c, while '12°C or below' briefly surged from 4c to 25.5c (before retreating). The reason is that weather forecasting models underwent a significant downward revision during this period, ruling out higher temperatures and temporarily increasing expectations for lower extremes.

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