All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
George Kirby
YesNo
Dylan Cease
YesNo
Bryan Woo
YesNo
Logan Gilbert
YesNo
Ranger Suarez
YesNo
Cole Ragans
YesNo
Jacob deGrom
YesNo
Hunter Brown
YesNo
Garrett Crochet
YesNo
Pablo Lopez
YesNo
Max Fried
YesNo
Gavin Williams
YesNo
Gerrit Cole
YesNo
Joe Ryan
YesNo
Bryce Miller
YesNo
Jose Soriano
YesNo
Cam Schlittler
YesNo
Kevin Gausman
YesNo
MacKenzie Gore
YesNo
Tarik Skubal
YesNo
Carlos Rodón
YesNo
Nathan Eovaldi
YesNo
Kyle Bradish
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.15 01:36 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
Current date is March 15, 2026 (MLB Spring Training). As the reigning back-to-back champion (2024 & 2025), Tarik Skubal deserves the highest premium (~24c). The market has normalized after the volatility on March 12, with Dylan Cease and George Kirby correctly priced as strong contenders in the 12-14c range. Jacob deGrom carries health risks despite his ceiling, justifying a neutral 9-10c price. Hunter Brown's current 9c price is slightly rich compared to his historical tier, with fair value adjusted down to 6c.
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Movers
From March 12, 2026, to March 13, 2026, Hunter Brown's price crashed from 25c to 9c, while Dylan Cease rebounded from 5.25c to 13.95c. This was caused by an extreme liquidity squeeze or mispricing event on March 12 (where Brown spiked to parity with the favorite Skubal, while contenders like Cease and Gilbert were irrationally depressed), followed by a swift market correction.
