Retrieve the latest data for this "NCAA Elite Eight" market. Given the extremely low volume of $31.0, analyze the bid-ask spread and depth, and combine with current KenPom rankings or ongoing NCAA Conference Tournament performances to assess if prices are lagging significantly behind fair value and the risks of being unable to exit positions.

AI-powered analysis for: Retrieve the latest data for this "NCAA Elite Eight" market. Given the extremely low volume of $31.0, analyze the bid-ask spread and depth, and combine with current KenPom rankings or ongoing NCAA Conference Tournament performances to assess if prices are lagging significantly behind fair value and the risks of being unable to exit positions.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search for the latest "To Make Elite 8" odds on mainstream sportsbooks like DraftKings or FanDuel, specifically for favorites like Duke or UConn. Convert these external odds into implied probabilities and compare them with the current odds on Polymarket to identify significant price deviations caused by low market attention.

AI-powered analysis for: Search for the latest "To Make Elite 8" odds on mainstream sportsbooks like DraftKings or FanDuel, specifically for favorites like Duke or UConn. Convert these external odds into implied probabilities and compare them with the current odds on Polymarket to identify significant price deviations caused by low market attention.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Addressing the nearly dried-up liquidity ($31 volume) in this market, design a "Stink Bid" strategy. Instead of paying the high ask price, calculate reasonable low-limit buy order levels for top-seeded teams (e.g., Purdue, Houston) and analyze how to position these bids to catch potential panic sells before or after the March Madness bracket is officially revealed.

AI-powered analysis for: Addressing the nearly dried-up liquidity ($31 volume) in this market, design a "Stink Bid" strategy. Instead of paying the high ask price, calculate reasonable low-limit buy order levels for top-seeded teams (e.g., Purdue, Houston) and analyze how to position these bids to catch potential panic sells before or after the March Madness bracket is officially revealed.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Sports|$3,833 Vol|

9 days 1 hrs

NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Kansas

YesNo

8.5¢

91.5¢

42¢

58¢

+33.5¢

0¢

North Carolina

YesNo

3.55¢

96.45¢

35¢

65¢

+31.5¢

0¢

Tennessee

YesNo

12¢

88¢

25¢

75¢

+13¢

0¢

Purdue

YesNo

46.5¢

53.5¢

38¢

62¢

0¢

+8.5¢

Miami (Ohio)

YesNo

2.2¢

97.8¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+1.2¢

Siena

YesNo

2.1¢

97.9¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+1.1¢

McNeese

YesNo

2.25¢

97.75¢

2¢

98¢

0¢

+0.2¢

Missouri

YesNo

2.8¢

97.2¢

0¢

South Florida

YesNo

4.5¢

95.5¢

0¢

UCLA

YesNo

9¢

91¢

0¢

Saint Louis

YesNo

6¢

94¢

0¢

LIU

YesNo

13.5¢

86.5¢

0¢

Michigan State

YesNo

32¢

68¢

0¢

Penn

YesNo

1.6¢

98.4¢

0¢

Prairie View A&M

YesNo

32.95¢

67.05¢

0¢

Cal Baptist

YesNo

1.55¢

98.45¢

0¢

Vanderbilt

YesNo

15.5¢

84.5¢

0¢

North Dakota State

YesNo

1.45¢

98.55¢

0¢

Iowa

YesNo

5.5¢

94.5¢

0¢

SMU

YesNo

2.3¢

97.7¢

0¢

Texas A&M

YesNo

2.2¢

97.8¢

0¢

Troy

YesNo

1.55¢

98.45¢

0¢

Villanova

YesNo

2.95¢

97.05¢

0¢

Texas Tech

YesNo

21.5¢

78.5¢

0¢

TCU

YesNo

2.8¢

97.2¢

0¢

Santa Clara

YesNo

2.85¢

97.15¢

0¢

Ohio State

YesNo

5¢

95¢

0¢

Miami (FL)

YesNo

6.5¢

93.5¢

0¢

Georgia

YesNo

3.5¢

96.5¢

0¢

BYU

YesNo

11.5¢

88.5¢

0¢

Wisconsin

YesNo

9¢

91¢

0¢

Gonzaga

YesNo

29¢

71¢

0¢

Hofstra

YesNo

1.85¢

98.15¢

0¢

High Point

YesNo

1.6¢

98.4¢

0¢

Utah State

YesNo

2.6¢

97.4¢

0¢

NC State

YesNo

8.75¢

91.25¢

0¢

Kentucky

YesNo

6¢

94¢

0¢

Iowa State

YesNo

48¢

52¢

0¢

Queens

YesNo

30.1¢

69.9¢

0¢

Howard

YesNo

1.1¢

98.9¢

0¢

Nebraska

YesNo

47.5¢

52.5¢

0¢

Lehigh

YesNo

1.55¢

98.45¢

0¢

Houston

YesNo

63.5¢

36.5¢

0¢

Texas

YesNo

3.35¢

96.65¢

0¢

Kennesaw State

YesNo

3.5¢

96.5¢

0¢

Arkansas

YesNo

18¢

82¢

0¢

UConn

YesNo

36.5¢

63.5¢

0¢

Northern Iowa

YesNo

1.75¢

98.25¢

0¢

Michigan

YesNo

81.5¢

18.5¢

0¢

Alabama

YesNo

19¢

81¢

0¢

Idaho

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Akron

YesNo

30.05¢

69.95¢

0¢

Saint Mary’s

YesNo

5.5¢

94.5¢

0¢

Wright State

YesNo

1.3¢

98.7¢

0¢

UCF

YesNo

2.6¢

97.4¢

0¢

VCU

YesNo

3.25¢

96.75¢

0¢

Illinois

YesNo

42¢

58¢

0¢

Clemson

YesNo

3.2¢

96.8¢

0¢

Furman

YesNo

2¢

98¢

0¢

Virginia

YesNo

22¢

78¢

0¢

Arizona

YesNo

64.5¢

35.5¢

0¢

Louisville

YesNo

15.5¢

84.5¢

0¢

Tennessee State

YesNo

1.35¢

98.65¢

0¢

St. John’s

YesNo

18.5¢

81.5¢

0¢

Hawaii

YesNo

2¢

98¢

0¢

Duke

YesNo

66¢

34¢

0¢

Florida

YesNo

69¢

31¢

0¢

AI Insights:

03.14 05:39 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

The market is in a state of extreme irrationality with initialization pricing, as almost all options are stuck at ~50 cents. This implies over 30 teams will make the Elite Eight, while mathematically only 8 can. Based on historical seed performance (Top seeds have ~40-60% chance, low seeds <5%), blue-blood programs like Kansas and Purdue should be valued between 35-45 cents, while mid-majors like McNeese and Miami (Ohio) have a statistically negligible chance, putting their fair value near 0.

Divergence

Extremely significant divergence. The market pricing implies a total of over 34 teams reaching the Elite Eight (68 teams * 0.5), while reality limits this to exactly 8. This indicates the market is currently completely detached from reality and in a state of inefficient pricing.

NCAA Tournament: Team to make Elite Eight - AI Odds Analysis

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