Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'NCAAM: Assists Per Game Leader' market, specifically analyzing the bid-ask spread and depth for top options like Brody Robinson and Mateo Esmeraldo given the extremely low volume (~$25), to determine if current prices reflect actual NCAA performance or merely stale data.

AI-powered analysis for: Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'NCAAM: Assists Per Game Leader' market, specifically analyzing the bid-ask spread and depth for top options like Brody Robinson and Mateo Esmeraldo given the extremely low volume (~$25), to determine if current prices reflect actual NCAA performance or merely stale data.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Visit the official resolution source (ncaa.com/stats/basketball-men/d1) to verify the current Assists Per Game (APG) leaderboard, specifically confirming if current leaders meet the official 'minimum games' qualification and calculating the 'games played' tie-breaker advantage for contenders like Jay Rodgers.

AI-powered analysis for: Visit the official resolution source (ncaa.com/stats/basketball-men/d1) to verify the current Assists Per Game (APG) leaderboard, specifically confirming if current leaders meet the official 'minimum games' qualification and calculating the 'games played' tie-breaker advantage for contenders like Jay Rodgers.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the market's extremely low liquidity ($25.06 total volume), design a 'Stink Bid' strategy to guide placing low limit orders for potential assist leaders (or the 'Other' option) to catch fills without suffering massive slippage from market orders.

AI-powered analysis for: Given the market's extremely low liquidity ($25.06 total volume), design a 'Stink Bid' strategy to guide placing low limit orders for potential assist leaders (or the 'Other' option) to catch fills without suffering massive slippage from market orders.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Sports|$58 Vol|

19 days 4 hrs

NCAAM: Assists Per Game Leader - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Christian Anderson

YesNo

43.5¢

56.5¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+42.5¢

Josiah Davis

YesNo

41.5¢

58.5¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+41.5¢

Brody Robinson

YesNo

41.5¢

58.5¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+41.5¢

Jeremy Fears Jr.

YesNo

45.5¢

54.5¢

85¢

15¢

+39.5¢

0¢

Quinn Denker

YesNo

38.5¢

61.5¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+38.5¢

Braden Smith

YesNo

46¢

54¢

12¢

88¢

0¢

+34¢

Jay Rodgers

YesNo

31.5¢

68.5¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+31.5¢

Themus Fulks

YesNo

20.5¢

79.5¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+20.5¢

Donovan Dent

YesNo

11.5¢

88.5¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+10.5¢

Mateo Esmeraldo

YesNo

7¢

93¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+7¢

AI Insights:

03.05 22:01 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

Based on early March 2026 data (Source: Saturday Tradition, Sports-Reference), Jeremy Fears Jr. (Michigan State) leads the nation with approximately 9.1-9.2 APG. Braden Smith (Purdue) is second with ~8.7 APG. The gap of 0.4-0.5 APG is significant given the limited number of games remaining (end of regular season and NCAA tournament). Smith would need to average exceptionally high numbers (e.g., 10.5+ APG) in the remaining games to overtake Fears, which is highly unlikely in tournament play. Thus, Fears is the heavy favorite. The current market pricing (all options at 44.5c) indicates an irrational or illiquid initial state.

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Divergence

Extreme divergence exists. Mainstream stats clearly show Jeremy Fears Jr. as the APG leader (9.1 APG), justifying a price above 80c. However, the market prices him at 44.5c, identical to Braden Smith (8.7 APG) and other trailing candidates. This is completely detached from fundamentals.

NCAAM: Assists Per Game Leader - AI Odds Analysis

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