Retrieve the latest Nasdaq 100 (NDX) futures data and the order book for this Polymarket event to analyze current market sentiment and liquidity depth, and assess the fair value for an "Up" or "Down" resolution based on the March 17 closing momentum.

AI-powered analysis for: Retrieve the latest Nasdaq 100 (NDX) futures data and the order book for this Polymarket event to analyze current market sentiment and liquidity depth, and assess the fair value for an "Up" or "Down" resolution based on the March 17 closing momentum.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search the US economic calendar for Wednesday, March 18, 2026, to verify if there are key macroeconomic releases (such as an FOMC meeting or CPI data) or major tech earnings that could serve as catalysts for the Nasdaq 100's daily direction.

AI-powered analysis for: Search the US economic calendar for Wednesday, March 18, 2026, to verify if there are key macroeconomic releases (such as an FOMC meeting or CPI data) or major tech earnings that could serve as catalysts for the Nasdaq 100's daily direction.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search for recent technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 index, specifically focusing on key support and resistance levels for mid-March, to determine if the current market structure favors a technical pullback or a trend continuation for the March 18 session.

AI-powered analysis for: Search for recent technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 index, specifically focusing on key support and resistance levels for mid-March, to determine if the current market structure favors a technical pullback or a trend continuation for the March 18 session.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Indicies|$2,797 Vol|

38 mins

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 18? - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

UpDown

0.6¢

99.4¢

52¢

48¢

+51.4¢

0¢

AI Insights:

03.17 14:46 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

Wednesday, March 18, 2026, is a confirmed FOMC meeting date with a rate decision and press conference, serving as the primary driver for volatility. While the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) historically has a slight daily upward bias (approx. 53%), price action on Fed days is binary and heavily dependent on the 2:00 PM ET statement and Chair Powell's rhetoric. Consequently, the fair value is pegged at a near-neutral 52/48, reflecting the long-term equity risk premium amidst binary event risk.

Sign up to view more information

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 18? - AI Odds Analysis

AI Insights:

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

Markets

AI Insights

Tools & subscriptions

Community

Policies & security

Partner