PMElections|$535 Vol|
time53 days 18 hrs

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
John Cavanaugh
YesNo
74¢
26¢
45¢
55¢
0¢
+29¢
Denise Powell
YesNo
19¢
81¢
40¢
60¢
+21¢
0¢
Mark Johnston
YesNo
10.25¢
89.75¢
0¢
100¢
0¢
+10.3¢
Evangelos Argyrakis
YesNo
9.35¢
90.65¢
1¢
99¢
0¢
+8.4¢
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AI Insights:

03.16 15:37 Updated
Fair Value Reasoning:
Mark Johnston appears to be inactive or withdrawn based on recent candidate filing lists (Ballotpedi...

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Divergence
Mark Johnston is trading at 8.5c despite credible reports and filing lists (Ballotpedia/NE SOS) indicating he has withdrawn or failed to file. The market price has not yet priced in this 'dropout' reality, creating a significant divergence.

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NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner - AI Odds Analysis