All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Brinker Harding
YesNo
Dan Frei
YesNo
Brett Lindstrom
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.16 22:45 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
As of March 16, 2026, the primary landscape for NE-02 is settled. The filing deadline for non-incumb...
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Divergence
Significant divergence exists. Mainstream media and election records confirm the non-incumbent filing deadline (March 2) has passed, leaving Brinker Harding as the "sole Republican candidate." However, the prediction market still assigns residual value to the withdrawn Lindstrom (1%) and the non-candidate Frei (~6%), resulting in Harding being undervalued. This reflects a market lag in pricing the definitive "filing deadline" information.
