All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Nikita Kucherov
YesNo
Nathan MacKinnon
YesNo
Connor McDavid
YesNo
Nick Suzuki
YesNo
Rasmus Dahlin
YesNo
Auston Matthews
YesNo
Ivan Demidov
YesNo
Filip Forsberg
YesNo
Brock Boeser
YesNo
William Eklund
YesNo
Tim Stutzle
YesNo
Mark Stone
YesNo
Troy Terry
YesNo
Brad Marchand
YesNo
Evgenii Malkin
YesNo
Matvei Michkov
YesNo
Jason Robertson
YesNo
Drake Batherson
YesNo
Nico Hischier
YesNo
Jake Guentzel
YesNo
Mitchell Marner
YesNo
Lane Hutson
YesNo
Matthew Knies
YesNo
Brandon Hagel
YesNo
Mathew Barzal
YesNo
Josh Morrissey
YesNo
Andrei Svechnikov
YesNo
Brock Nelson
YesNo
Nikolaj Ehlers
YesNo
Pavel Buchnevich
YesNo
Mikko Rantanen
YesNo
John Tavares
YesNo
Kirill Kaprizov
YesNo
Logan Cooley
YesNo
Wyatt Johnston
YesNo
Artemi Panarin
YesNo
Steven Stamkos
YesNo
Tomas Hertl
YesNo
Bo Horvat
YesNo
Adrian Kempe
YesNo
Elias Pettersson
YesNo
Dylan Holloway
YesNo
Brayden Point
YesNo
Patrik Laine
YesNo
Martin Necas
YesNo
Shea Theodore
YesNo
Kevin Fiala
YesNo
Kyle Connor
YesNo
Nazem Kadri
YesNo
Brady Tkachuk
YesNo
Tage Thompson
YesNo
Adam Fantilli
YesNo
Anze Kopitar
YesNo
Jesper Bratt
YesNo
Tom Wilson
YesNo
Macklin Celebrini
YesNo
Matthew Tkachuk
YesNo
Jack Hughes
YesNo
Jonathan Marchessault
YesNo
Victor Hedman
YesNo
Jordan Kyrou
YesNo
Kirill Marchenko
YesNo
Roope Hintz
YesNo
Cale Makar
YesNo
Dylan Strome
YesNo
Matt Boldy
YesNo
Evan Bouchard
YesNo
Seth Jarvis
YesNo
Zach Hyman
YesNo
Lucas Raymond
YesNo
Alex Tuch
YesNo
Dylan Larkin
YesNo
David Pastrnak
YesNo
Clayton Keller
YesNo
Miro Heiskanen
YesNo
Robert Thomas
YesNo
Vincent Trocheck
YesNo
William Nylander
YesNo
Quinton Byfield
YesNo
Dylan Guenther
YesNo
Juraj Slafkovsky
YesNo
Alex DeBrincat
YesNo
Sidney Crosby
YesNo
Noah Dobson
YesNo
Mark Scheifele
YesNo
Aleksander Barkov
YesNo
John-Jason Peterka
YesNo
Connor Bedard
YesNo
Carter Verhaeghe
YesNo
Mika Zibanejad
YesNo
Cole Caufield
YesNo
Zach Werenski
YesNo
Adam Fox
YesNo
Travis Konecny
YesNo
Sam Reinhart
YesNo
Quinn Hughes
YesNo
Sebastian Aho
YesNo
J.T. Miller
YesNo
Alexander Ovechkin
YesNo
Jack Eichel
YesNo
Leon Draisaitl
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.15 13:21 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
The race for the Art Ross Trophy has tightened significantly. Market data indicates a clear shift in momentum: while Connor McDavid remains the favorite (37c), his price has dropped over 10 cents in the last three days, suggesting his points lead is evaporating. The primary beneficiary is Nathan MacKinnon, whose price surged from 17.5c to 28.5c, reflecting a strong scoring run. However, a significant market inefficiency persists: Nikita Kucherov remains priced (~35c) significantly higher than MacKinnon, which contradicts recent momentum and the points deficit noted in previous weeks. Fair value analysis suggests MacKinnon's true probability is nearly neck-and-neck with McDavid, while Kucherov is carrying too much historical premium and should be downgraded.
Sign up to view more information
Movers
March 12, 2026 - March 15, 2026, Nathan MacKinnon's price surged from 17.5c to 28.5c, while Connor McDavid's price dropped from 47.5c to 37c. The reason is likely a multi-point scoring streak by MacKinnon over the weekend, significantly tightening the gap with the leader and reopening the race.
March 1, 2026 - March 7, 2026, Nikita Kucherov's price crashed from 46c to 29.5c, while MacKinnon rose from 9.5c to 20.5c. The driver was a slump by Kucherov dropping him to third place, coinciding with a surge by MacKinnon to second.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. The market currently prices Nikita Kucherov as the second favorite (~35c), higher than Nathan MacKinnon (~28.5c). However, combining the previous standings trend (MacKinnon surpassing Kucherov in points and momentum) with the massive price volatility of the last three days (MacKinnon surging), fundamental analysis strongly suggests MacKinnon is the true primary challenger. The market's sticky high price for Kucherov appears to be a lagging indicator based on early-season performance rather than the current athletic reality.
