[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth and user discussions for top contenders like Cale Makar, Quinn Hughes, and Adam Fox. Combine this with the latest NHL official stats (points, +/-, and advanced metrics like Corsi/Fenwick) to assess if the current odds accurately reflect the players' actual probability of winning, and identify any arbitrage opportunities or liquidity risks.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth and user discussions for top contenders like Cale Makar, Quinn Hughes, and Adam Fox. Combine this with the latest NHL official stats (points, +/-, and advanced metrics like Corsi/Fenwick) to assess if the current odds accurately reflect the players' actual probability of winning, and identify any arbitrage opportunities or liquidity risks.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Awareness & Verification] Injury & Attendance Key Variables Confirmation: Search official NHL injury reports and team news to confirm if key contenders (e.g., Cale Makar, Quinn Hughes, Roman Josi) have recently suffered injuries leading to long-term absence. Given that Norris Trophy voting values full-season performance, verify if these players are on track to meet the necessary games-played threshold to maintain their competitiveness.

AI-powered analysis for: [Awareness & Verification] Injury & Attendance Key Variables Confirmation: Search official NHL injury reports and team news to confirm if key contenders (e.g., Cale Makar, Quinn Hughes, Roman Josi) have recently suffered injuries leading to long-term absence. Given that Norris Trophy voting values full-season performance, verify if these players are on track to meet the necessary games-played threshold to maintain their competitiveness.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Analysis & Reasoning] Historical Fractal & Voting Bias Comparison: Review the statistical patterns of the last 5 Norris Trophy winners (high-scoring vs. all-around defensemen). Analyze recent voting trends of the Professional Hockey Writers' Association (PHWA) to determine if this season's narrative favors "offensive explosion" (like Evan Bouchard) or "two-way dominance" (like Cale Makar), and judge if the current market price misprices the winning odds of specific playstyles.

AI-powered analysis for: [Analysis & Reasoning] Historical Fractal & Voting Bias Comparison: Review the statistical patterns of the last 5 Norris Trophy winners (high-scoring vs. all-around defensemen). Analyze recent voting trends of the Professional Hockey Writers' Association (PHWA) to determine if this season's narrative favors "offensive explosion" (like Evan Bouchard) or "two-way dominance" (like Cale Makar), and judge if the current market price misprices the winning odds of specific playstyles.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner

Sports|$327.9k Vol|

57 days 14 hrs

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner - AI Found +12.3¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.01 12:56

Top Undervalued

+12.3¢

Zach Werenski(Yes)

+2.3¢

Cale Makar(No)

+1.9¢

Evan Bouchard(No)

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner AI analysis: • +12.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

With the regular season concluded, market consensus on the voters' ballots is highly concentrated. Z...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Zach Werenski

YesNo

73.7¢

26.3¢

86¢

14¢

+12.3¢

0¢

Cale Makar

YesNo

5.35¢

94.65¢

3¢

97¢

0¢

+2.3¢

Expand to view all 69 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, Zach Werenski's price rebounded from 74.5c to 85.6c. Reason: As more voters' ballot intentions were confirmed, the brief market hesitation ended, and funds reconcentrated on the overwhelming favorite. April 17, 2026 - April 23, 2026, Zach Werenski's price steadily recovered from 64.9c to 81.5c, while Cale Makar dropped from 14.7c to 5.1c. Reason: With the regular season officially ending, early disclosures of media ballots and leaning solidified the consensus around Werenski, draining residual capital from Makar. April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Zach Werenski's price plummeted from 81.3c to 52.4c, while Evan Bouchard's price surged from 17.1c to 35.4c. Reason: A temporary market repricing due to swaying voter intentions among some PHWA members as the regular season wrapped up, though Werenski subsequently regained ground. March 27, 2026 - April 2, 2026, Evan Bouchard's price climbed steadily from 4.0c to 14.4c, while Cale Makar's price dropped from 15c down to 5.7c. Reason: A late-season offensive tear by Bouchard attracted hedging capital previously allocated to Makar. March 23, 2026 - March 26, 2026, Zach Werenski's price surged from 60.6c to 83c, while Cale Makar's price plummeted from 29c to 14.5c. Reason: Late-season consensus among PHWA voters rapidly consolidated around Werenski. March 13, 2026 - March 20, 2026, Evan Bouchard's price recovered steadily from 8.8c to 16c. Reason: An offensive surge sparked media narratives about him being 'snubbed'. March 10, 2026 - March 12, 2026, Zach Werenski's price surged from 19c to 36.5c, while Evan Bouchard crashed from 13.2c to 3.9c. Reason: The official NHL.com Trophy Tracker poll revealed Werenski tied Makar in first-place votes.