All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Matthew Boldy
YesNo
Leon Draisaitl
YesNo
Connor McDavid
YesNo
Nathan MacKinnon
YesNo
Nikita Kucherov
YesNo
Kirill Kaprizov
YesNo
Kevin Fiala
YesNo
Cole Caufield
YesNo
Jason Robertson
YesNo
Quinton Byfield
YesNo
Jake Guentzel
YesNo
Jack Eichel
YesNo
Alex Tuch
YesNo
Jesper Bratt
YesNo
Tom Wilson
YesNo
Mika Zibanejad
YesNo
Pavel Dorofeyev
YesNo
Mathew Barzal
YesNo
Brock Boeser
YesNo
Nazem Kadri
YesNo
Alex Ovechkin
YesNo
Sebastian Aho
YesNo
Martin Necas
YesNo
Juraj Slafkovsky
YesNo
Bryan Rust
YesNo
Carter Verhaeghe
YesNo
Dylan Guenther
YesNo
Artemi Panarin
YesNo
Steven Stamkos
YesNo
Wyatt Johnston
YesNo
Adam Fantilli
YesNo
Jack Hughes
YesNo
Kyle Connor
YesNo
Auston Matthews
YesNo
Mark Stone
YesNo
Brayden Point
YesNo
Sam Reinhart
YesNo
Jared McCann
YesNo
Matvei Michkov
YesNo
Matt Duchene
YesNo
Timo Meier
YesNo
Nico Hischier
YesNo
Mark Scheifele
YesNo
Bo Horvat
YesNo
Tim Stutzle
YesNo
Seth Jarvis
YesNo
Robert Thomas
YesNo
Elias Pettersson
YesNo
Mitchell Marner
YesNo
Macklin Celebrini
YesNo
Kirill Marchenko
YesNo
Tomas Hertl
YesNo
Andrei Svechnikov
YesNo
David Pastrnak
YesNo
Mikko Rantanen
YesNo
Adrian Kempe
YesNo
Dylan Larkin
YesNo
Patrik Laine
YesNo
Brad Marchand
YesNo
Tage Thompson
YesNo
Travis Konecny
YesNo
Elias Pettersson (1988)
YesNo
William Nylander
YesNo
Filip Forsberg
YesNo
Alex DeBrincat
YesNo
Connor Bedard
YesNo
Jordan Kyrou
YesNo
Roope Hintz
YesNo
Aleksander Barkov
YesNo
J.T. Miller
YesNo
Chris Kreider
YesNo
Lucas Raymond
YesNo
Sidney Crosby
YesNo
Brandon Hagel
YesNo
Matthew Tkachuk
YesNo
John Tavares
YesNo
Nick Suzuki
YesNo
Brady Tkachuk
YesNo
Brock Nelson
YesNo
Zach Hyman
YesNo
Clayton Keller
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.13 05:25 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
As of March 13, 2026, Nathan MacKinnon leads the league with 43 goals, holding a solid 6-goal cushion over Cole Caufield and Kirill Kaprizov (37 each), and a 7-goal lead over Connor McDavid (36). With only approximately 20 games remaining in the regular season, a 6-goal lead is statistically formidable barring injury. Major sportsbooks (e.g., Bet365, Bet99) have shortened MacKinnon's odds to around -400 (~80% implied probability). While McDavid is on a heater (15 points in last 8 games), the mathematical probability of him overcoming a 7-goal deficit against a consistent MacKinnon is lower than his market price suggests (trading at 13c vs ~8c fair value). MacKinnon at 77c represents slight value.
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Divergence
Significant divergence exists regarding Connor McDavid. Major sportsbooks (e.g., Bet99, Covers) list him around +350 to +450 (18%-22% implied probability), likely factoring in a 'star tax' and liability hedging against his explosive scoring capability. In contrast, the prediction market is pricing him more ruthlessly at 13c (13%), weighting the statistical difficulty of closing a 7-goal gap in ~20 games more heavily than his reputation.
