[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the core goaltender statistics (such as GSAx, Save Percentage) for the 2025-26 NHL season and recent GM voting trends, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth for favorites like Connor Hellebuyck or Thatcher Demko, and assess if current prices fully reflect fundamental advantages and potential underdog risks.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Retrieve the core goaltender statistics (such as GSAx, Save Percentage) for the 2025-26 NHL season and recent GM voting trends, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth for favorites like Connor Hellebuyck or Thatcher Demko, and assess if current prices fully reflect fundamental advantages and potential underdog risks.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Mainstream Divergence] Search for the latest 2025-26 Vezina Trophy odds on mainstream sportsbooks like DraftKings and FanDuel, compare them with Polymarket's implied probabilities, and identify any significant arbitrage opportunities caused by crypto market information lag or liquidity differences.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mainstream Divergence] Search for the latest 2025-26 Vezina Trophy odds on mainstream sportsbooks like DraftKings and FanDuel, compare them with Polymarket's implied probabilities, and identify any significant arbitrage opportunities caused by crypto market information lag or liquidity differences.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Opportunity Cost] Considering this market resolves on June 30, 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of locking up capital for approximately 4 months (compared to risk-free DeFi stablecoin yields) to determine if buying a heavy favorite (e.g., priced over $0.70) still offers a positive expected ROI.

AI-powered analysis for: [Opportunity Cost] Considering this market resolves on June 30, 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of locking up capital for approximately 4 months (compared to risk-free DeFi stablecoin yields) to determine if buying a heavy favorite (e.g., priced over $0.70) still offers a positive expected ROI.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Sports|$8,882 Vol|

103 days 1 hrs

NHL Vezina Trophy Winner - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Ilya Sorokin

YesNo

44.85¢

55.15¢

40¢

60¢

0¢

+4.8¢

Jesper Wallstedt

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

3¢

97¢

+2.9¢

0¢

Logan Thompson

YesNo

0.25¢

99.75¢

1¢

99¢

+0.7¢

0¢

Jeremy Swayman

YesNo

1.55¢

98.45¢

2¢

98¢

+0.5¢

0¢

Andrei Vasilevskiy

YesNo

51.5¢

48.5¢

52¢

48¢

+0.5¢

0¢

Semyon Varlamov

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+0.1¢

Alexandar Georgiev

YesNo

0.2¢

99.8¢

0¢

Spencer Knight

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Alex Lyon

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Jake Allen

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Justus Annunen

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Vitek Vanecek

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Mackenzie Blackwood

YesNo

2.95¢

97.05¢

0¢

Jet Greaves

YesNo

0.3¢

99.7¢

0¢

Charlie Lindgren

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Stuart Skinner

YesNo

0.35¢

99.65¢

0¢

Dan Vladar

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Joseph Woll

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Elvis Merzlikins

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Frederik Andersen

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Jonas Johansson

YesNo

0.2¢

99.8¢

0¢

Alex Nedeljkovic

YesNo

0.4¢

99.6¢

0¢

Pyotr Kochetkov

YesNo

0.2¢

99.8¢

0¢

Yaroslav Askarov

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Scott Wedgewood

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Jacob Markstrom

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Casey DeSmith

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Joey Daccord

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Anthony Stolarz

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Joel Hofer

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Arvid Soderblom

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Kevin Lankinen

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Karel Vejmelka

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Jake Oettinger

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Sam Montembeault

YesNo

0.2¢

99.8¢

0¢

Ivan Fedotov

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Filip Gustavsson

YesNo

0.5¢

99.5¢

0¢

Ilya Samsonov

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Dustin Wolf

YesNo

0.7¢

99.3¢

0¢

Cam Talbot

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Jonathan Quick

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Juuse Saros

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Connor Ingram

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Samuel Ersson

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Eric Comrie

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

David Rittich

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Adin Hill

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Jakub Dobes

YesNo

0.2¢

99.8¢

0¢

Connor Hellebuyck

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Sergei Bobrovsky

YesNo

0.35¢

99.65¢

0¢

Philipp Grubauer

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Petr Mrazek

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Calvin Pickard

YesNo

0.3¢

99.7¢

0¢

John Gibson

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Tristan Jarry

YesNo

0.05¢

99.95¢

0¢

Jordan Binnington

YesNo

1.6¢

98.4¢

0¢

Darcy Kuemper

YesNo

0.15¢

99.85¢

0¢

Igor Shesterkin

YesNo

0.75¢

99.25¢

0¢

Anton Forsberg

YesNo

0.3¢

99.7¢

0¢

Lukas Dostal

YesNo

0.3¢

99.7¢

0¢

Thatcher Demko

YesNo

0.1¢

99.9¢

0¢

Joonas Korpisalo

YesNo

0.4¢

99.6¢

0¢

Linus Ullmark

YesNo

0.3¢

99.7¢

0¢

AI Insights:

03.05 07:27 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

Following a severe market correction in early March, the race has stabilized into a two-horse contest between Andrei Vasilevskiy (~51c) and Ilya Sorokin (~37c). While Vasilevskiy's previous valuation (60c+) proved overheated, he remains the favorite driven by wins and Tampa Bay's standings. Sorokin's rebound (from 27c to 40c, then settling) reflects his statistical dominance in save percentage. Jesper Wallstedt's previous pricing at 20c was an irrational bubble that has since burst to 6c, yet his fair value remains lower (~3c) given his rookie status.

Divergence

The primary divergence lies with Jesper Wallstedt. Despite the crash, a price of 6c remains high for a goaltender who is likely not the undisputed starter (Vezina is rarely awarded to players with lower workloads). This indicates residual speculative money in the prediction market that diverges from official NHL voting criteria which favors workload and consistency.

NHL Vezina Trophy Winner - AI Odds Analysis

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