All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Carolina Hurricanes
YesNo
Pittsburgh Penguins
YesNo
New Jersey Devils
YesNo
Philadelphia Flyers
YesNo
New York Islanders
YesNo
New York Rangers
YesNo
Washington Capitals
YesNo
Columbus Blue Jackets
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.14 19:21 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
As of March 14, 2026, the Carolina Hurricanes lead the division with 88 points, holding a massive 9-point cushion over their closest rivals, the Pittsburgh Penguins and New York Islanders (both at 79 points). With only approximately 17 games remaining, this gap is formidable. Crucially, Carolina defeated Pittsburgh 5-4 on March 10, a pivotal 'four-point swing' game that effectively solidified their dominance. Even if Carolina plays merely .500 hockey down the stretch (finishing with ~105 points), the chasing teams would need to play at an implausible pace (e.g., 13-4-0) just to tie. Given the Islanders' recent loss to the Kings and Pittsburgh losing 3 of their last 4, an upset is statistically highly unlikely. The current price of 92c is undervalued relative to the true win probability of 95%+.
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Arbitrage|Direct Arb
Arbitrage Plan:
Buy Yes on all options (Buy the field).
Plan Description:
A direct risk-free arbitrage opportunity exists. The sum of all 'Yes' prices is currently ~97.8 cents (91.95 + 2.15 + 1.6 + ...). This allows you to buy the entire field for 97.8c. As long as the season concludes normally (rules cover until June 30), one option is guaranteed to pay out 100c. This yields a risk-free profit of 2.2c per share, representing an annualized return of approximately 17.8%.Sign up to view more information
Arbitrage: 2¢
|Annualized yield: 17.8%
