NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics|$11.0k Vol|
time49 days 22 hrs

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.01 00:00
Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
Dan Goldman(No)
+1.5¢
Brad Lander(Yes)
+0.9¢
Alexa Avilés(Yes)

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner AI analysis: • +3.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than two months until the NY-10 Democratic primary, Brad Lander remains the clear frontrun...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office
Culture|$106.8k Vol|
time10 hrs 19 mins

"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office

Top Undervalued
+1¢
>55m(No)
+0.5¢
50-55m(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market prices indicate that the second-weekend box office for 'Michael' is hovering right ar...
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Movers
May 2, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the >55m option's price fluctuated, rising from 29.5c to a peak of 70.9c before settling in the 53.5c-59.5c range, as actual weekend performance indicated potential for a higher gross, causing the market to reprice this bracket. May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026, the price of the 50-55m option surged from 23.5c to a peak of 84.5c, while the 35-40m and 40-45m options plummeted to around 1c. This was driven by strong Friday box office estimates (around $14M), which caused market expectations for the second weekend gross to be significantly upgraded to over $50M.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 4?
Weather|$26.7k Vol|
time10 hrs 19 mins

Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+29¢
27°C(Yes)
+18.3¢
26°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature at Chengdu Shuangliu Internationa...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?
Weather|$18.5k Vol|
time10 hrs 19 mins

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+23.5¢
22°C(No)
+7.5¢
24°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts (e.g., Wunderground, AccuWeather, TimeAndDate) predict the highest temperat...
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Exotics
Predicting the daily temperature of a specific city is a typical weather prediction market. It is less mainstream than political elections or macroeconomic indicators but not extremely bizarre, having a certain niche audience.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Dan Goldman
YesNo
18.5¢
81.5¢
15¢
85¢
+3.5¢
Brad Lander
YesNo
80.5¢
19.5¢
82¢
18¢
+1.5¢

Expand to view all 5 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 27, 2026 - April 29, 2026, Yuh-Line Niou's price spiked abnormally to 47.7c (before dropping back), and Dan Goldman's price temporarily surged from 13c to 32c. This was likely due to short-term rumors, unexpected polling whispers, or anomalous large trades in a low-liquidity environment, as prices quickly reverted to fundamentals within 24 hours. April 8, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the market remained stable overall, with no drastic fluctuations exceeding 10c. Brad Lander's price stabilized between 82.5c and 86c, while Dan Goldman's price fluctuated slightly between 10.5c and 13c. March 24, 2026 - March 30, 2026, the market entered a smooth consolidation phase. Brad Lander's price drifted from 79.5c to 76.5c, while Dan Goldman's price crept up from 17c to 20c. Neither triggered a >10c volatile move, reflecting standard expectation adjustments. March 10, 2026 - March 16, 2026, Dan Goldman's price drifted down from 19c to 11c, showing a sustained decline that indicates evaporating market confidence in his ability to recover; meanwhile, Brad Lander stabilized at a high of 82c-83c, further solidifying his frontrunner status. This week's movement reflects undecided support accelerating toward the leader as the primary nears. Feb 20, 2026 - Feb 26, 2026, the market remained extremely calm, with price fluctuations for main candidates Brad Lander (holding ~75c) and Dan Goldman (holding ~21c) staying under 5 cents. The market appears to have fully digested the initial impact of Lander's entry and is awaiting new catalysts from the primary season. Late 2025 - Early 2026, Brad Lander's price experienced a decisive surge driven by his official campaign announcement and endorsements from newly elected Mayor Mamdani and Bernie Sanders, confirming the consolidation of progressive forces in NY-10.

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