Over the past month, what has been the average weekly post count for the @NYCMayor account under Zohran Mamdani?

AI-powered analysis for: Over the past month, what has been the average weekly post count for the @NYCMayor account under Zohran Mamdani?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If Mayor Mamdani replies to a citizen's tweet but it doesn't show up on his main feed, does it count toward the final post total?

AI-powered analysis for: If Mayor Mamdani replies to a citizen's tweet but it doesn't show up on his main feed, does it count toward the final post total?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How reliable is the xtracker tool at capturing deleted tweets from @NYCMayor, and what happens if the tracker misses them?

AI-powered analysis for: How reliable is the xtracker tool at capturing deleted tweets from @NYCMayor, and what happens if the tracker misses them?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Are there any major official events, holidays, or city council meetings in NYC between April 3 and April 10, 2026, that could cause a spike in tweets?

AI-powered analysis for: Are there any major official events, holidays, or city council meetings in NYC between April 3 and April 10, 2026, that could cause a spike in tweets?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is there any current breaking news in NYC (like a storm, strike, or crisis) that would require Mayor Mamdani to issue frequent Twitter updates?

AI-powered analysis for: Is there any current breaking news in NYC (like a storm, strike, or crisis) that would require Mayor Mamdani to issue frequent Twitter updates?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Besides Zohran Mamdani, who runs the @NYCMayor social media team, and what is their typical posting strategy?

AI-powered analysis for: Besides Zohran Mamdani, who runs the @NYCMayor social media team, and what is their typical posting strategy?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What are the top 3 reasons why the @NYCMayor account might go quiet and post less than 20 times this week?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the top 3 reasons why the @NYCMayor account might go quiet and post less than 20 times this week?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If @NYCMayor only posts 5 times by April 6, which bracket benefits the most from the remaining time decay?

AI-powered analysis for: If @NYCMayor only posts 5 times by April 6, which bracket benefits the most from the remaining time decay?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How does this week's projected post count compare to Mamdani's posting frequency during his first week as NYC Mayor?

AI-powered analysis for: How does this week's projected post count compare to Mamdani's posting frequency during his first week as NYC Mayor?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is the hype around the '200+' option solely driven by a recent viral tweet storm, and is there a risk of getting trapped by chasing highs?

AI-powered analysis for: Is the hype around the '200+' option solely driven by a recent viral tweet storm, and is there a risk of getting trapped by chasing highs?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low volume ($10.20), what is the slippage risk if I try to place a $100 bet on the '100-119' bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low volume ($10.20), what is the slippage risk if I try to place a $100 bet on the '100-119' bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What upcoming policy announcements from Mayor Mamdani could catalyze a sudden surge of quote tweets and retweets within the next 48 hours?

AI-powered analysis for: What upcoming policy announcements from Mayor Mamdani could catalyze a sudden surge of quote tweets and retweets within the next 48 hours?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on his historical activity, is betting on '<20' a high-win-rate 'picking up pennies' strategy, or a lottery ticket play?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on his historical activity, is betting on '<20' a high-win-rate 'picking up pennies' strategy, or a lottery ticket play?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the core disagreement in the Polymarket comments regarding whether retweets will artificially inflate the tweet count?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the core disagreement in the Polymarket comments regarding whether retweets will artificially inflate the tweet count?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How should I structure a DCA plan for the '80-99' bracket based on daily tweet volume milestones between April 3 and April 10?

AI-powered analysis for: How should I structure a DCA plan for the '80-99' bracket based on daily tweet volume milestones between April 3 and April 10?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If the @NYCMayor account posts 50 times on day one, at what price should I immediately stop-loss my '60-79' position?

AI-powered analysis for: If the @NYCMayor account posts 50 times on day one, at what price should I immediately stop-loss my '60-79' position?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

For a $10 micro-capital play, which extreme outlier option (like <20 or 200+) offers the best entertainment and payout value?

AI-powered analysis for: For a $10 micro-capital play, which extreme outlier option (like <20 or 200+) offers the best entertainment and payout value?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is it worth locking up funds for a week in this low-volume Mayor tweet market compared to risk-free yields in DeFi protocols?

AI-powered analysis for: Is it worth locking up funds for a week in this low-volume Mayor tweet market compared to risk-free yields in DeFi protocols?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How can I place stink bids on the '120-139' option to catch sudden panic selling if Mamdani takes a weekend break from X?

AI-powered analysis for: How can I place stink bids on the '120-139' option to catch sudden panic selling if Mamdani takes a weekend break from X?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given my 75% confidence that he will post between 40-59 times, what percentage of my bankroll should I allocate using the Kelly criterion?

AI-powered analysis for: Given my 75% confidence that he will post between 40-59 times, what percentage of my bankroll should I allocate using the Kelly criterion?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

NYC Mayor # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Politics|$10.2k Vol|

15 hrs 20 mins

NYC Mayor # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.09 18:01

Top Undervalued

+2.4¢

<20(No)

+1.3¢

20-39(Yes)

+0.5¢

40-59(No)

NYC Mayor # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026? AI analysis: • +2.4¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Current market pricing indicates that the '20-39' bracket is absolutely dominant, with the Yes price...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

<20

YesNo

3.45¢

96.55¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+2.4¢

20-39

YesNo

96.7¢

3.3¢

98¢

2¢

+1.3¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

Predicting the exact tweet count of a specific politician in a particular week is a highly niche and trivial topic. The general public rarely wonders about this, making it a classic novelty prediction market.

Movers

Between 2026-04-08 08:58 and 2026-04-09 08:48, the 20-39 option surged from 55.5c to 97.45c, while the <20 option plummeted from 34.5c to 4.95c. This was caused by the passage of time confirming the tweet count had crossed the 20-tweet threshold and is not expected to exceed 40. Between 2026-04-07 14:15 and 2026-04-08 03:15, the 120-139 option spiked from 1.35c to 33.7c. This was caused by extremely poor liquidity where a small number of buy orders significantly distorted the price. Between 2026-04-06 07:55 and 2026-04-06 15:30, the 120-139 option spiked from 0.35c to 22.8c, and the 60-79 option surged from 0.45c to 12.9c. This was caused by extremely poor liquidity where large orders distorted the order book. Between 2026-04-04 18:00 and 2026-04-05 02:40, the <20 option dropped from 40.5c to 26.5c, while the 20-39 option rose from 64.5c to 72c. This was caused by the gradual accumulation of posts as time progressed, leading the market to discount the extreme low-frequency outcome and consolidate around the 20-39 range. Between 2026-04-03 16:00 and 17:05, the <20 option surged from 26.5c to 48.5c, and the 200+ option skyrocketed from 1.95c to 49.4c. This was caused by extremely poor market depth, where small large orders easily wiped out the order book, leading to severe price distortion.