[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest data for the 'Seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections' market on Polymarket, focusing on the bid-ask spread and liquidity depth for the '3', '4', and '5' seat options. Re-evaluate the fair value of current odds and potential liquidity risks in light of the confirmed number of by-election seats announced by the National Election Commission.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest data for the 'Seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections' market on Polymarket, focusing on the bid-ask spread and liquidity depth for the '3', '4', and '5' seat options. Re-evaluate the fair value of current odds and potential liquidity risks in light of the confirmed number of by-election seats announced by the National Election Commission.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Key Variables Confirmation] Exact Seat Count Verification: Search for the latest official announcements regarding the June 3, 2026 by-elections in South Korea. Verify exactly how many National Assembly seats are officially confirmed for by-election so far (market description says 'at least four'); if the total contested seats are fewer than 6, does this mathematically eliminate the possibility of the '6+' option winning?

AI-powered analysis for: [Key Variables Confirmation] Exact Seat Count Verification: Search for the latest official announcements regarding the June 3, 2026 by-elections in South Korea. Verify exactly how many National Assembly seats are officially confirmed for by-election so far (market description says 'at least four'); if the total contested seats are fewer than 6, does this mathematically eliminate the possibility of the '6+' option winning?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Authoritative Polls Comparison] District-Specific Approval Analysis: Search for recent poll data from Gallup Korea or Realmeter specifically targeting the districts holding by-elections (rather than nationwide numbers). Analyze the People Power Party's (PPP) approval ratings in these specific areas and compare them with the party's historical win rates in local elections to judge the actual probability of them winning the majority of contested seats.

AI-powered analysis for: [Authoritative Polls Comparison] District-Specific Approval Analysis: Search for recent poll data from Gallup Korea or Realmeter specifically targeting the districts holding by-elections (rather than nationwide numbers). Analyze the People Power Party's (PPP) approval ratings in these specific areas and compare them with the party's historical win rates in local elections to judge the actual probability of them winning the majority of contested seats.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

Politics|$31.2k Vol|

30 days 10 hrs

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.29 03:10

Top Undervalued

+7.5¢

2(No)

+3.9¢

0(Yes)

+3.5¢

3(No)

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections? AI analysis: • +7.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Market sentiment has reversed significantly recently, with the probability of '1' seat dropping shar...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

YesNo

40.5¢

59.5¢

33¢

67¢

0¢

+7.5¢

YesNo

1.15¢

98.85¢

5¢

95¢

+3.9¢

0¢

Expand to view all 7 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

Apr 25, 2026 - Apr 28, 2026, the price of option '3' surged from 25.5c to 38c, while option '1' crashed from 26.7c to 13.3c. This is due to recent local developments showing effective mobilization by the ruling party in its core strongholds, restoring market confidence that it will retain at least 2-3 seats. Apr 11, 2026 - Apr 12, 2026, the price of option '1' surged from 14.75c to 28.3c, while option '2' dropped from 45.5c to 34c, reflecting shifting market expectations that the PPP may face greater electoral pressure and reduced confidence in holding multiple seats. Mar 11, 2026 - Mar 13, 2026, the price of option '3' rose from 24.5c to 32.5c, reflecting renewed market confidence in PPP's mobilization capabilities within their conservative strongholds (TK region). Mar 7, 2026 - Mar 10, 2026, the price of option '1' crashed from 39.5c to 9c, as the market logic shifted from a generic 'low approval leads to low seats' view to a specific 'stronghold defense' scenario, deeming a 1-seat outcome structurally unlikely (either holding 2-3 strongholds or losing everything).