[Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment] Visit the Polymarket page and, given the extremely low volume ($40), focus on analyzing if there are any valid resting orders in the order book; simultaneously, retrieve the latest March 2026 Hungarian polls (e.g., seat projections by Medián or Závecz) to assess the fair value range of seats TISZA is expected to win out of the 199 total seats.

AI-powered analysis for: [Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment] Visit the Polymarket page and, given the extremely low volume ($40), focus on analyzing if there are any valid resting orders in the order book; simultaneously, retrieve the latest March 2026 Hungarian polls (e.g., seat projections by Medián or Závecz) to assess the fair value range of seats TISZA is expected to win out of the 199 total seats.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Politics] Authoritative Polls Comparison: Search for the latest 'Mandate Projection' models from local Hungarian think tanks (e.g., Political Capital or 21 Kutatóközpont) and compare TISZA's projected seat totals across 'Single Member Districts' and 'Party Lists' to determine which option bracket (e.g., 90-99 or 100-109) aligns best with the current statistical consensus.

AI-powered analysis for: [Politics] Authoritative Polls Comparison: Search for the latest 'Mandate Projection' models from local Hungarian think tanks (e.g., Political Capital or 21 Kutatóközpont) and compare TISZA's projected seat totals across 'Single Member Districts' and 'Party Lists' to determine which option bracket (e.g., 90-99 or 100-109) aligns best with the current statistical consensus.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Fair Value] Optimal Limit Order Placement: Considering the market has almost no liquidity, market order trading carries high risk. Based on your forecasted probability for TISZA's seat count, calculate a buy price that includes a margin of safety, and suggest placing a Limit Order on the most likely bracket (e.g., 80-89 or 100-109) to capture potential mispricing by providing liquidity.

AI-powered analysis for: [Fair Value] Optimal Limit Order Placement: Considering the market has almost no liquidity, market order trading carries high risk. Based on your forecasted probability for TISZA's seat count, calculate a buy price that includes a margin of safety, and suggest placing a Limit Order on the most likely bracket (e.g., 80-89 or 100-109) to capture potential mispricing by providing liquidity.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Elections|$4,551 Vol|

23 days 15 hrs

# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election? - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

110–119

YesNo

13¢

87¢

30¢

70¢

+17¢

0¢

80–89

YesNo

15.95¢

84.05¢

3¢

97¢

0¢

+12.9¢

120-129

YesNo

13.5¢

86.5¢

25¢

75¢

+11.5¢

0¢

90–99

YesNo

12.5¢

87.5¢

5¢

95¢

0¢

+7.5¢

100–109

YesNo

20¢

80¢

15¢

85¢

0¢

+5¢

70–79

YesNo

5¢

95¢

2¢

98¢

0¢

+3¢

130+

YesNo

22¢

78¢

19¢

81¢

0¢

+3¢

<70

YesNo

2.25¢

97.75¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+1.2¢

AI Insights:

03.15 16:29 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

Recent polls from early March 2026 (e.g., 21 Research Center) show TISZA leading Fidesz by ~14 point...

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Divergence

Significant divergence exists. Mainstream polls (e.g., 21 Research Center) project TISZA winning ~115 seats with a widening lead, making the 110-130 range the most probable outcome. However, the prediction market pricing is extremely scattered and chaotic, slightly favoring a lower bracket (100-109 is priced highest), failing to fully reflect TISZA's commanding polling lead. Furthermore, the anomalous sum of prices indicates a severe lack of consensus or broken liquidity.

# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election? - AI Odds Analysis

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