AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 05.12 00:59
Top Undervalued
+71.5¢
30–35M(No)
+24.4¢
40–45M(Yes)
+19.9¢
45–50M(Yes)
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1? AI analysis: • +71.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
MrBeast's recent videos typically garner between 40M and 50M views in the first 24 hours, with excep...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities
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All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
30–35M
YesNo
83.5¢
16.5¢
12¢
88¢
0¢
+71.5¢
40–45M
YesNo
0.55¢
99.45¢
25¢
75¢
+24.4¢
0¢
Expand to view all 8 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
The main risk is that if no video is posted by June 30, the market resolves to the lowest bracket (<20M). Additionally, it strictly applies to standard videos, excluding Shorts, which requires bettors to monitor the upload format carefully.
Divergence
The market prices indicate unusually high 'Yes' prices for low view brackets (e.g., 20-25M, 30-35M), with the sum of implied probabilities reaching 276%. This is completely disconnected from MrBeast's reality of averaging 40M+ day-1 views and basic probability axioms. This divergence is primarily due to extreme illiquidity causing severe mispricing.
