AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.28 02:04
Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
Christine Drazan(No)
+5¢
Ed Diehl(Yes)
+4.6¢
Chris Dudley(Yes)
Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner AI analysis: • +10.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
⚠️ CRITICAL RISK ALERT: Rules incorrectly cite 'Democratic Primary' while options are Republicans. I...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Christine Drazan
YesNo
82.5¢
17.5¢
72¢
28¢
0¢
+10.5¢
Ed Diehl
YesNo
7¢
93¢
12¢
88¢
+5¢
0¢
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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
This is a critical rule failure. The market title specifies the 'Republican Primary Winner' and lists Republican-affiliated candidates (e.g., Christine Drazan), but the rule text explicitly states resolution will be based on the winner of the '**Democratic** Primary'. This complete mismatch between title/options and resolution criteria creates a fundamental contradiction, making the market impossible to resolve logically and highly prone to cancellation or dispute.
Movers
Apr 25, 2026 - Apr 27, 2026, Ed Diehl's price crashed from 22.5c to 12c, as market capital heavily sold off his shares ahead of the primary, reflecting a severe loss of confidence in his victory.
Apr 16, 2026 - Apr 19, 2026, Ed Diehl's price surged from 32.5c to 47c, as market participants reassessed his campaign momentum ahead of the primary, allowing him to narrowly overtake Drazan.
Apr 3, 2026 - Apr 6, 2026, Chris Dudley's price surged from 5c to 16.5c due to speculative buying amid rumors of him reconsidering a run or securing new backing.
Mar 27, 2026 - Mar 30, 2026, Chris Dudley's price crashed from 28.5c to 11c as the market realized his lack of active campaigning, shifting funds to viable candidates.
Mar 27, 2026 - Mar 30, 2026, Ed Diehl's price surged from 34.5c to 46c due to renewed campaign momentum and restored market confidence in his viability.
Mar 17, 2026 - Mar 18, 2026, Ed Diehl's price crashed from 34.5c to 18.5c, likely due to collapsing confidence in his ability to challenge frontrunner Drazan as the primary approaches.
Feb 25, 2026 - Feb 26, 2026, Ed Diehl's price previously crashed from 38c to 18c before a temporary recovery, indicating chronic liquidity issues.
Feb 9, 2026 - Feb 10, 2026, Chael Sonnen's price dropped from 3.1c to 1.35c, reflecting market realization that the sports star was not running a viable campaign.