All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.17 00:14 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
With only ~14 days remaining until March 31, time decay (theta) has become the dominant pricing factor. Although the firing of Noem and the Epstein files subpoena initially sparked panic, the price crash from 13c to 5c range over the last week—followed by flat trading—indicates the market has absorbed these shocks without signs of escalation. Absent new, immediate scandals or public rebukes from Trump, the probability of a cabinet member completing the resignation/firing process within two weeks is extremely low. The current market price of ~5.5c still holds a slight 'panic premium'; fair value is likely closer to the base rate (~4c).
Sign up to view more information
