PMSports|$305 Vol|
time19 days 12 hrs

Greater Zion Cup at Black Desert Resort (Men's Singles) Winner - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Adam Harvey
YesNo
Braden Jacobson
YesNo
Gabriel Joseph
YesNo
Edward Perez
YesNo
Clayton Powell
YesNo
Blaine Hovenier
YesNo
Daniel Phillips
YesNo
Rafa Hewett
YesNo
James Delgado
YesNo
Spartak Rahachou
YesNo
Jack Sock
YesNo
Dylan Frazier
YesNo
JW Johnson
YesNo
Christopher Haworth
YesNo
Hunter Johnson
YesNo
Federico Staksrud
YesNo
Eric Oncins
YesNo
Indigo Dagnall
YesNo
Jaxon Madsen
YesNo
Andrew Caldarella
YesNo
Christian Alshon
YesNo
Ross Whittaker
YesNo
Tom Protzek
YesNo
Marshall Brown
YesNo
Pesa Teoni
YesNo
Zane Ford
YesNo
Anouar Braham
YesNo
Jonathan Truong
YesNo
Roscoe Bellamy
YesNo
Julian Arnold
YesNo
Max Freeman
YesNo
Tama Shimabukuro
YesNo
Rafael Lenhard
YesNo
George Rangelov
YesNo
Connor Mogle
YesNo
Stephen Madonia
YesNo
Jay Devilliers
YesNo
Christopher Crouch
YesNo
Cason Campbell
YesNo
Michael Loyd
YesNo
Luke Wasson
YesNo
Yates Johnson
YesNo
Andre Mercado
YesNo
Armaan Bhatia
YesNo
Camden Chaffin
YesNo
Lucas Pascoe
YesNo
Caden Nemoff
YesNo
Alexander Crum
YesNo
Tyson McGuffin
YesNo
Noe Khlif
YesNo
Jace Morris
YesNo
Wyatt Stone
YesNo
Augustus Ge
YesNo
Yuta Funemizu
YesNo
Matthew Barlow
YesNo
Ivan Jakovljevic
YesNo
Connor Garnett
YesNo
Wil Shaffer
YesNo
Mota Alhouni
YesNo
John Lucian Goins
YesNo
Jaume Martinez Vich
YesNo
LOGO

AI Insights:

03.18 20:42 Updated
Fair Value Reasoning:
The market is severely inefficient, pricing dozens of players at ~50% win probability. Based on 2026 PPA Tour performance, Federico Staksrud (fresh off a Texas Open win), Hunter Johnson, and Chris Haworth are the dominant singles players. Mid-tier pros like Adam Harvey have a negligible chance of winning (true odds <1%), making their 51-cent pricing a massive market error.

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Divergence
There is an extreme divergence between the market and reality. Market prices imply a sum of win probabilities exceeding 3000% (approx. 50% per player), whereas reality dictates a sum of 100%. In the PPA Tour context, a few dominant players like Federico Staksrud and Ben Johns monopolize titles, a hierarchy completely unreflected in the current market pricing.

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