Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
World|$78.0k Vol|
time242 days 0 hrs

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? - AI Found +10¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.29 12:57
Top Undervalued
+10¢
(No)

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? AI analysis: • +10¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The price for the 'Yes' option has climbed to 80c, accompanied by extreme volatility. This indicates...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Culture|$20.8k Vol|
time2 days 0 hrs

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+69¢
Should I Marry A Murderer?(No)
+36.5¢
Man on Fire: Season 1(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current sum of 'Yes' prices across all options is approximately 144c, indicating significant ove...
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Movers
April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Man on Fire: Season 1' surged from ~26.5c to around 60.5c as viewership data heading into the weekend showed it taking a commanding lead for the #1 spot. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Should I Marry A Murderer?' saw a sharp spike from 10c to a peak of 45c before settling at 32.5c, reflecting sudden viral momentum and a market repricing of its competitive chances. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Running Point: Season 2' dropped from 42.5c to ~30.5c, losing its frontrunner status as competing shows gained stronger late-week traction.
AI Analysis
How is the #1 US Netflix show determined for this market, and what happens if Netflix delays their Top 10 list update past May 8?
Trump out as President by May 31?
Trump|$161.9k Vol|
time28 days 0 hrs

Trump out as President by May 31?

Top Undervalued
+1.3¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about a month left until expiration, there are no credible signs indicating that Donald Tr...
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Hedging
US 10Y Yield
DXY
DJT
S&P 500
A sudden resignation or removal of the US President would cause massive political shockwaves. Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock, directly tied to him, would face structural crash risks (Score 5). Concurrently, the broad macroeconomic and political uncertainty would drive significant risk-off trading and volatility in the S&P 500, US Dollar Index (DXY), and 10Y Treasury Yields (Score 3).
AI Analysis
What is the most direct news source or political rumor causing the recent betting activity around Trump potentially leaving office before May 31?
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?
Politics|$46.6k Vol|
time2 days 0 hrs

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

Top Undervalued
+0.2¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only 2 days left until the resolution date and the current price having dropped to 1.2c, the ma...
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Exotics
This is a highly specific, gossip-driven political market. Unless there is breaking legal news regarding him, the general public does not typically speculate on whether a former FBI Director will have a mugshot released within a specific week, making it quite novel and exotic.
AI Analysis
What is the latest breaking news regarding James Comey's legal situation, and are there credible reports indicating an imminent arrest or mugshot release before May 5, 2026?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 4?
Weather|$10.6k Vol|
time1 days 12 hrs

Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+25¢
33°C or below(No)
+8.4¢
35°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts (e.g., The Weather Channel, WeatherBug), thunderstorms and...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a relatively niche forecasting topic that the general public rarely thinks about, though it remains a standard template in weather-focused prediction markets.
AI Analysis
What is the data update mechanism for the Wunderground VILK station, and how does the platform typically resolve disputes if the May 4 temperature data is delayed?
Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?
Sports|$12.1k Vol|
time51 mins

Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?

Top Undervalued
+8.9¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Team Vitality dominated the group stage of BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 with a flawless 2-0 record, ...
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Movers
Between April 29, 2026, and May 2, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' climbed steadily from 64c to 93c, driven by Vitality's flawless 2-0 run in the group stage, which secured them a direct semi-final spot against a significantly weaker opponent, GamerLegion. Between April 28, 2026, and April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 51c to a peak of 92.5c, before settling around 78.5c. This significant movement was likely driven by the market correcting its underpricing of Vitality's extremely high probability of making a deep tournament run as the event approached.
AI Analysis
What are the exact win/loss conditions for this Team Vitality market, and how does the May 17 postponement deadline affect the resolution?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
85¢
15¢
75¢
25¢
0¢
+10¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
From April 27, 2026, to April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' experienced extreme volatility, plunging from 83.5c to 50.0c before quickly bouncing back to 80.0c. This was likely due to contradictory news regarding Bolojan's tenure or dramatic twists in coalition negotiations, leading to sharp reversals in market expectations. From March 9, 2026, to March 10, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 59.5c to 43.5c, likely because Bolojan survived a critical no-confidence vote or a coalition ultimatum at this juncture, removing the immediate threat of removal. However, the price did not return to February lows, indicating lingering political damage. In mid-February 2026, removal risk briefly eased following agreements on budget and reform bills.

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