Solana price on April 9?
Crypto|$220.1k Vol|
time0 s

Solana price on April 9? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
80-90(No)
+0.9¢
70-80(Yes)
+0.2¢
90-100(Yes)

Solana price on April 9? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)
Elections|$79.1k Vol|
time1 days 14 hrs

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Top Undervalued
+2¢
Tisza <9%(No)
+1¢
Tisza 12-15%(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest prediction market data normalized to 100%, 'Tisza <9%' remains the most likely s...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
Between April 7, 2026 and April 9, 2026, the price of 'Tisza 18%+' surged from 6c to 19.5c, 'Tisza 12-15%' plummeted from 18.5c to 6.5c, and 'Tisza <9%' fell from 48c to 33c. This is due to capital dynamics and updated pre-election assessments leading some traders to heavily bet on a landslide victory for Tisza, causing a drastic reallocation of implied probabilities across margin brackets. Between April 6, 2026 and April 9, 2026, the price of 'Tisza 18%+' surged from 9c to 19.5c, 'Tisza 12-15%' dropped from 18.5c to 6.5c, and 'Tisza <9%' fell from 46c to 34.5c. This is due to the market reallocating probabilities across brackets based on the latest election updates and capital flows as the election approaches, with some investors betting on a larger margin of victory for Tisza.
AI Analysis
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Politics|$62.3k Vol|
time1 days 14 hrs

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Top Undervalued
+25.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Although the TISZA party is performing strongly in polls, securing at least 133 out of 199 seats (a ...
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Movers
Between April 8, 2026, and April 8, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 27c to 34.5c before settling around 31.5c. This was likely driven by speculative capital inflows fueled by optimistic sentiment regarding TISZA's momentum as Election Day approaches. Between April 1, 2026, and April 2, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 17.5c to 27.5c. This was likely due to the market overreacting to TISZA's strong polling momentum in the final stages before the election, leading to an influx of irrational betting.
Divergence
There is a significant divergence. The prediction market assigns a nearly 30% probability that TISZA will win a constitutional supermajority. However, mainstream political analysts and election experts generally agree that, given the electoral laws tailored by Fidesz and their media control, achieving even a simple majority (100 seats) is an uphill battle for TISZA, making 133 seats practically impossible in reality.
AI Analysis
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 6 - 12?
Weather|$82.4k Vol|
time1 days 14 hrs

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 6 - 12?

Top Undervalued
+2.5¢
2(No)
+1¢
0(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of April 10, 2026, there are only about 2 days left until the April 12 resolution. According to m...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Rule Risk
There is a noticeable discrepancy between the stated settlement time (April 12, 00:00) and the actual end of the market timeframe (April 12, 11:59 PM ET). Additionally, USGS often revises initial earthquake magnitudes near the 6.5 threshold, which along with the 24-hour revision rule could lead to contentious or delayed resolutions.
Exotics
Predicting the exact count of major global earthquakes within a highly specific, short timeframe (one week) is quite niche. Lacking reliable short-term earthquake forecasting technology, this market acts more as a gamble on natural randomness than an event driven by analyzable trends.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Milan on April 10?
Weather|$63.5k Vol|
time2 hrs 52 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on April 10?

Top Undervalued
+4¢
22°C(Yes)
+2.5¢
21°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts and real-time observations for April 10, the highest temperatu...
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Movers
2026-04-09 06:38 to 2026-04-10 08:38, the price of the '24°C' option plummeted from 28.5c to 2.55c, as the latest meteorological models on the day ruled out the possibility of reaching 24°C. 2026-04-09 17:28 to 2026-04-10 08:38, the price of the '23°C' option plummeted from 45c to 29c, as actual observations and short-term forecasts shifted towards a milder 22°C. 2026-04-08 17:38 to 2026-04-10 07:33, the price of the '22°C' option surged from 28.5c to 63.5c, as major weather services highly consistently forecasted the daily high to be around 22°C as the settlement approached. 2026-04-08 17:38 to 2026-04-09 06:38, the price of the '21°C' option plummeted from 25c to 5.5c, as forecasts at the time showed temperatures likely well above 21°C. 2026-04-07 01:20 to 2026-04-07 17:35, the price of the '25°C or higher' option plummeted from 30.5c to 6c, as meteorological models ruled out extreme heat.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
80-90
YesNo
100¢
0.1¢
100¢
+0.9¢
70-80
YesNo
0.1¢
100¢
100¢
+0.9¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Real-time Strike Distance Ratio, 1.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Expiration risk: absolute percentage distance between price and strike price Positive Factor 2: 15-Minute High Breakout Status, 1.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Sprint signal: whether price breaks above the past 15-minute high (0/1) Positive Factor 3: 1-Minute MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0020, Impact-Strong, Factor description Micro life line: deviation of price relative to the 1-minute MA5 Positive Factor 4: 15-Minute MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Recent step trend: deviation of price relative to the 15-minute MA20 Positive Factor 5: 1-Minute Volume Change Rate, 0.3590, Impact-Strong, Factor description Abnormal activity detection: current minute volume relative to previous minute volume Negative Factor 1: Hourly MA60 Momentum Deviation, -0.0010, Impact-Medium, Factor description Ultra-short-term inertia: using hourly trend as guidance for very short-term momentum

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