Solana price on May 2?
Crypto|$10.1k Vol|
time10 hrs 55 mins

Solana price on May 2? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+0.4¢
100-110(Yes)
+0.3¢
100-110(No)
+0.1¢
40-50(Yes)

Solana price on May 2? AI analysis: • +0.4¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
Weather|$14.7k Vol|
time6 hrs 55 mins

Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?

Top Undervalued
+31.6¢
17°C(Yes)
+15.5¢
18°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts (including Wunderground and AccuWeather) for May 2 indicate an expected...
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Exotics
Predicting the specific highest temperature of a foreign city on a single day is a niche, long-tail topic. While it is a standard weather market on prediction platforms, it is relatively obscure for the general public.
Movers
April 30, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 17°C option surged from 2.5c to 45.5c, driven by updated rain and cooling forecasts pushing the expected high down to around 17°C as the target date arrived. April 30, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The 18°C option rose from 11c to a peak of 53c before falling to 27c. The market initially saw it as the most likely outcome when forecasts dropped from 19-20°C, but later forecasts cooled even further to 17°C. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026: The 20°C option plummeted from 34c to 2.75c, as the approaching resolution date confirmed a cooler front, eliminating the likelihood of reaching 20°C.
AI Analysis
How will the highest temperature on May 2 be verified using the Wunderground Cape Town airport station data, and what are the specific resolution rules (e.g., whole degree Celsius rounding) for this market?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
Weather|$18.8k Vol|
time6 hrs 55 mins

Highest temperature in Lagos on May 2?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
33°C(Yes)
+1.5¢
34°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market pricing, 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C are the three most probable options, with 3...
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Exotics
Predicting the highest temperature of a specific city on a given day is a standard niche topic (weather forecasting) in prediction markets. While not a mainstream macro event, it is neither bizarre nor absurd.
Movers
From May 2, 2026, 01:43 to 04:58, the price of 32°C surged from 21c to 30c as the actual weather forecasts converged toward this temperature range near settlement, reflecting a higher probability in the market. From May 1 to May 2, 2026, other options experienced mild fluctuations, with 33°C slightly rising to 32c and 34°C dropping from its peak (35.5c) to 29c, reflecting minor adjustments in expectations.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria and win/loss conditions for the May 2nd Lagos highest temperature market using the simplest language.
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 2?
Weather|$12.5k Vol|
time6 hrs 55 mins

Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 2?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
37°C(No)
+2.5¢
36°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only hours left until resolution, the actual temperature data in Jeddah is becoming clear. Curr...
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Exotics
While daily weather forecasts are standard fare on prediction market platforms, predicting the exact high temperature in Jeddah on a specific day remains a relatively niche and obscure topic for the general public and traditional investors.
Movers
Between April 30, 2026, and May 2, 2026, the price of 37°C surged from 6.5c to 47.5c, and 38°C climbed from 3.15c to 18.7c, while the price of 35°C plummeted from 28c to 9.5c. This is because as the expiration date approaches, updated weather forecasting models and initial live observations indicated that the actual temperature would be significantly higher than expected a few days ago, driving a sharp shift in market sentiment towards higher temperatures.
AI Analysis
What are the exact resolution rules for this Jeddah temperature market, and how is the Wunderground data at King Abdulaziz International Airport finalized and rounded?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?
Politics|$11.4k Vol|
time6 days 10 hrs

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+14.5¢
80-99(No)
+14¢
60-79(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Donald Trump posts very frequently on Truth Social, typically averaging between 15 and 25 posts and ...
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Rule Risk
Resolution heavily relies on a specific tracker (xtracker). The rules contain edge cases regarding 'replies' (counted if recorded on the main feed) and 'deleted posts' (counted if they survive ~5 mins). This creates a risk of divergence between the tracker's captured data and manual counts on the platform.
Exotics
Betting on the exact number of social media posts by a specific public figure on a specific platform in a given week is a highly niche and novelty entertainment market. The general public rarely considers or tracks such granular details.
Movers
April 28, 2026 - May 1, 2026, prices for almost all options plummeted (e.g., '100-119' dropped from 48c to 22c, '200+' from 48.5c to 5.15c). The reason is that uncalibrated initial liquidity upon market creation pushed all 'Yes' options to roughly 40-50c, which were subsequently corrected by traders pricing in realistic weekly posting volumes.
AI Analysis
What was Donald Trump's average weekly posting frequency on Truth Social over the past 3 months?
Elon Musk # tweets May 1 - May 8, 2026?
Culture|$1.6m Vol|
time6 days 10 hrs

Elon Musk # tweets May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
360-379(No)
+0.6¢
320-339(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market pricing and posting behavior since the tracker started, the 180-219 range...
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Rule Risk
The rules contain significant caveats: normal replies do not count (which make up the majority of Musk's activity), but main-feed replies do. Deleted posts count if kept for >5 minutes. Furthermore, resolution heavily relies on a specific custom tracker, which may yield vastly different totals compared to a user's manual count on X.
Exotics
Betting on the exact number of tweets a public figure makes in a specific week is a highly niche and entertainment-driven market. Ordinary people do not ponder the exact statistical count of such trivial daily activities, making it a classic novelty prediction market.
AI Analysis
What was Elon Musk's average weekly tweet count (excluding standard replies) over the past year?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
100-110
YesNo
0.35¢
99.65¢
0.7¢
100¢
+0.4¢
+0.3¢
40-50
YesNo
0.05¢
99.95¢
0.1¢
100¢
+0.1¢
0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0030, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 2: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0370, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0010, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0030, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 3: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0130, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average

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