AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.13 22:05
Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(Yes)
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? AI analysis: • +0.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
State Street's (STT) consensus EPS estimate is $2.57. Historically, large financial institutions hav...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
YesNo
59.5¢
40.5¢
60¢
40¢
+0.5¢
0¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
STT
This market is directly tied to State Street's (STT) quarterly earnings. An earnings beat or miss typically triggers a medium-level price movement (around 5%) in the individual stock, offering direct hedging and trading value. Due to STT's market cap, the direct impact on broad indices like the S&P 500 is negligible.
Movers
April 11, 2026 (16:08) - April 13, 2026 (21:08), the price of Option_'Yes' moderately recovered and stabilized from 54.5c to 59.5c, as market sentiment settled after previous sell-offs, aligning closely with the historical norm probability of an earnings beat (~60%).
April 11, 2026 (00:58) - April 11, 2026 (16:08), the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 71.5c to 54.5c, as market sentiment cooled rapidly from previous over-optimism heading into the earnings date, prompting profit-taking and position adjustments.
April 9, 2026 (19:08) - April 11, 2026 (00:58), the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50.5c to 71.5c, likely due to increased market confidence in an earnings beat or momentum from strong peer expectations as the release date approached.
April 8, 2026 (19:03) - April 9, 2026 (19:08), the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 81.5c to 50.5c, possibly due to aggressive profit-taking or market rumors dampening earnings expectations.
April 6, 2026 - April 8, 2026 (19:03), the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50c to 81.5c, as bulls aggressively built positions betting on an earnings beat ahead of the release date.