[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for "Susie Wiles out by March 31" to analyze the order book depth and recent volume (~$10k). Given the low liquidity, is the bid-ask spread excessive? Are there sudden large buys on "Yes" suggesting insider leaks, or is the price steadily trending toward "No" as the deadline approaches?

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for "Susie Wiles out by March 31" to analyze the order book depth and recent volume (~$10k). Given the low liquidity, is the bid-ask spread excessive? Are there sudden large buys on "Yes" suggesting insider leaks, or is the price steadily trending toward "No" as the deadline approaches?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Awareness & Verification] Core News Sourcing: Search Google News and X (Twitter) for recent "Trump administration infighting" or "Susie Wiles status" reports in February 2026. Are there credible rumors from sources like Axios, Politico, or key White House reporters suggesting she has lost Trump's trust, or does reporting indicate her Chief of Staff position is currently stable?

AI-powered analysis for: [Awareness & Verification] Core News Sourcing: Search Google News and X (Twitter) for recent "Trump administration infighting" or "Susie Wiles status" reports in February 2026. Are there credible rumors from sources like Axios, Politico, or key White House reporters suggesting she has lost Trump's trust, or does reporting indicate her Chief of Staff position is currently stable?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Analysis & Reasoning] Time Decay (Theta) Analysis: Given the current date is February 28, 2026, and the market resolves on March 31, there is only one month remaining. Analyze the "Time Value" of this event. Since "Yes" requires a sudden firing event within ~30 days to win, is the current "Yes" price overpriced due to speculation? How should the price correct if no news breaks in the next week?

AI-powered analysis for: [Analysis & Reasoning] Time Decay (Theta) Analysis: Given the current date is February 28, 2026, and the market resolves on March 31, there is only one month remaining. Analyze the "Time Value" of this event. Since "Yes" requires a sudden firing event within ~30 days to win, is the current "Yes" price overpriced due to speculation? How should the price correct if no news breaks in the next week?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Trump|$27.3k Vol|

12 days 5 hrs

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31? - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

YesNo

2.55¢

97.45¢

3¢

97¢

+0.5¢

0¢

AI Insights:

03.12 23:23 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

Although the price rebounded from 2.25 cents to 4.9 cents in the last two days, this is likely a misinterpretation or brief panic regarding the March 11 news that 'FBI agents were fired for investigating Wiles' phone records.' In reality, Kash Patel firing agents who investigated her confirms Wiles' protected status within Trump's inner circle, rather than marking her as a target for a purge. Furthermore, reports from March 10 indicate Wiles is actively leading White House meetings to address the energy crisis and strategizing for the November 2026 midterms, signaling no intent to depart by the end of March (only 18 days away). The fallout from the Vanity Fair interview in December has settled, and her position remains entrenched.

Sign up to view more information

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31? - AI Odds Analysis

AI Insights:

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

Markets

AI Insights

Tools & subscriptions

Community

Policies & security

Partner