Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Politics|$11.8k Vol|
time69 days 6 hrs

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.16 15:24
Top Undervalued
+5¢
(No)

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? AI analysis: • +5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
In the April 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections, opposition leader Péter Magyar defeated long-ti...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick
Sports|$1.1m Vol|
time3 days 6 hrs

NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick

Top Undervalued
+0.3¢
Fernando Mendoza(Yes)
+0.2¢
Arvell Reese(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 4 days remaining until the 2026 NFL Draft, Fernando Mendoza's Yes price is extremely ...
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AI Analysis
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 22?
Weather|$15.0k Vol|
time18 hrs 7 mins

Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 22?

Top Undervalued
+26¢
8°C(Yes)
+8¢
10°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport ...
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Rule Risk
The title asks for the temperature in 'Seoul', but the rules explicitly mandate using data from the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station' (RKSI). As a coastal airport, Incheon's climate can differ from downtown Seoul, creating a clear trap for those who only read the title.
AI Analysis
Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?
Culture|$574.4k Vol|
time22 hrs 7 mins

Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+19.5¢
40-64(No)
+12.5¢
65-89(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
This market covers a 48-hour tracking period. The tracking period has been active for about 20 hours...
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Rule Risk
Resolution relies on a specific third-party tracker rather than just visible tweets. The rules contain edge cases for replies (main feed replies count) and deleted tweets (only count if captured within ~5 mins), creating a distinct risk of discrepancy between automated tracker data and manual user counting.
Exotics
Predicting the exact number of posts a public figure makes within a specific 48-hour window is highly niche and novelty-driven. It is a classic entertainment-focused market typical of prediction platforms, and not something the general public actively ponders.
Movers
April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, the price of the '40-64' option climbed from 34.5c to a peak of 56.5c, while the '65-89' option dropped from 43.5c to 26.5c. This occurred because, as the tracking period progressed (about 20 hours in), traders adjusted their expectations downward based on Musk's real-time activity, making the 40-64 range the clear favorite. April 18, 2026 - April 20, 2026, the price of the '40-64' option climbed from 21.5c to a peak of 43.5c, while the '65-89' option dropped from 46.5c to 36.5c. This occurred because, as the tracking period approached and began, traders adjusted their expectations downward based on Musk's real-time activity, bringing the 40-64 range into a virtual tie with the 65-89 range. April 17, 2026 - April 18, 2026, no option experienced a significant price movement of more than 10 cents, indicating stable market sentiment.
AI Analysis
Bank of Russia decision in April?
Economy|$183.2k Vol|
time2 days 6 hrs

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Decrease(No)
+0.4¢
No Change(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only a few days left until the Bank of Russia's April 24 interest rate decision, market expecta...
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AI Analysis
MD-06 House Election Winner
Politics|$11.2k Vol|
time195 days 6 hrs

MD-06 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+6¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+3.5¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The previous assessment is maintained. As a blue-leaning district, MD-06 offers a strong incumbency ...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
80¢
20¢
75¢
25¢
+5¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

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