How many times on average did Ted Cruz post on X per week over the past year?

AI-powered analysis for: How many times on average did Ted Cruz post on X per week over the past year?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Explain the resolution rules for the Ted Cruz posting market simply: do his replies and deleted posts count towards the total?

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution rules for the Ted Cruz posting market simply: do his replies and deleted posts count towards the total?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Are there any major political events or Senate votes between March 31 and April 7, 2026, that could cause a spike in Ted Cruz's posting volume?

AI-powered analysis for: Are there any major political events or Senate votes between March 31 and April 7, 2026, that could cause a spike in Ted Cruz's posting volume?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How accurate is xtracker.polymarket.com in tracking Ted Cruz's account, and are there known risks of delays or missed posts?

AI-powered analysis for: How accurate is xtracker.polymarket.com in tracking Ted Cruz's account, and are there known risks of delays or missed posts?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Besides Ted Cruz himself, who are the key individuals or teams managing his X account and scheduling his posts?

AI-powered analysis for: Besides Ted Cruz himself, who are the key individuals or teams managing his X account and scheduling his posts?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Have there been any past disputes on Polymarket regarding the X tracker failing to capture deleted posts for politicians?

AI-powered analysis for: Have there been any past disputes on Polymarket regarding the X tracker failing to capture deleted posts for politicians?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is the current volume in the Ted Cruz posting market driven by breaking news about him, or purely by whale capital speculation?

AI-powered analysis for: Is the current volume in the Ted Cruz posting market driven by breaking news about him, or purely by whale capital speculation?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the general sentiment among prediction market analysts on Twitter regarding Ted Cruz's expected posting frequency for early April?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the general sentiment among prediction market analysts on Twitter regarding Ted Cruz's expected posting frequency for early April?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the core disagreement in the Polymarket community regarding Ted Cruz's post volume (e.g., campaign mode frequency vs. vacation downtime)?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the core disagreement in the Polymarket community regarding Ted Cruz's post volume (e.g., campaign mode frequency vs. vacation downtime)?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

As the April 7 deadline approaches, which bracket (e.g., <20 or 100-119) benefits the most from time decay if the posting frequency remains flat?

AI-powered analysis for: As the April 7 deadline approaches, which bracket (e.g., <20 or 100-119) benefits the most from time decay if the posting frequency remains flat?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How do the current market predictions compare to Ted Cruz's historical posting patterns during congressional recess vs. active session weeks?

AI-powered analysis for: How do the current market predictions compare to Ted Cruz's historical posting patterns during congressional recess vs. active session weeks?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is Ted Cruz's weekly tweet count highly predictable based on historical averages, or subject to high randomness driven by breaking political news?

AI-powered analysis for: Is Ted Cruz's weekly tweet count highly predictable based on historical averages, or subject to high randomness driven by breaking political news?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What potential breaking news catalysts in the next 48 hours could push Ted Cruz's post count into the '200+' bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: What potential breaking news catalysts in the next 48 hours could push Ted Cruz's post count into the '200+' bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If Ted Cruz takes a sudden vacation or goes silent, how can we logically project the fair bottom support price for the '<20' bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: If Ted Cruz takes a sudden vacation or goes silent, how can we logically project the fair bottom support price for the '<20' bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If I invest $1,000 into the '80-99' bracket for Ted Cruz's posts, what is the actual net profit after deducting estimated Gas fees and slippage?

AI-powered analysis for: If I invest $1,000 into the '80-99' bracket for Ted Cruz's posts, what is the actual net profit after deducting estimated Gas fees and slippage?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid-ask spread, what is the optimal limit order price to buy the '120-139' bracket that is easy to fill without losing edge?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid-ask spread, what is the optimal limit order price to buy the '120-139' bracket that is easy to fill without losing edge?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

By April 3, what daily average post count should trigger a stop-loss red line, signaling an immediate exit from the '200+' bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: By April 3, what daily average post count should trigger a stop-loss red line, signaling an immediate exit from the '200+' bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Which 3 high-quality Twitter accounts or tools are best for tracking Ted Cruz's social media activity and related political dynamics?

AI-powered analysis for: Which 3 high-quality Twitter accounts or tools are best for tracking Ted Cruz's social media activity and related political dynamics?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Does the risk of xtracker missing deleted posts justify the current odds discount (risk premium) on the higher post volume brackets?

AI-powered analysis for: Does the risk of xtracker missing deleted posts justify the current odds discount (risk premium) on the higher post volume brackets?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Can you generate a brief trading plan for the Ted Cruz posts market, including the rationale for entering the '100-119' bracket, target price, and invalidation conditions?

AI-powered analysis for: Can you generate a brief trading plan for the Ted Cruz posts market, including the rationale for entering the '100-119' bracket, target price, and invalidation conditions?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Politics|$10.1k Vol|

3 days 7 hrs

Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: just now

Top Undervalued

+4.5¢

60-79(No)

+3.5¢

80-99(No)

+2¢

100-119(No)

Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026? AI analysis: • +4.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

With more than half of the tracking period completed (only ~3.3 days remaining), Ted Cruz's daily po...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

60-79

YesNo

39.55¢

60.45¢

35¢

65¢

0¢

+4.5¢

80-99

YesNo

53.5¢

46.5¢

50¢

0¢

+3.5¢

Expand to view all 9 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Rule Risk

Resolution relies heavily on a specific official Polymarket tracker rather than raw X (Twitter) displays. The inclusion of edge cases like 'quickly deleted tweets' and 'replies on the main feed' makes it highly likely that tracker data will deviate from manual counts, creating a moderate risk of resolution disputes.

Exotics

Predicting the exact number of tweets a politician will make in a random week is highly trivial and exotic. Ordinary people would never contemplate or care about the answer to this question before seeing the market, making it a typical novelty betting topic.

Movers

April 3, 2026 - April 4, 2026: The price of the 80-99 bracket surged from 34c to around 58c, while the 100-119 bracket dropped from 26c to 14c, and the 60-79 bracket also saw an uptick. This occurred because, as the settlement date approaches, the latest posting rate further confirmed a low probability of exceeding 100 posts, accelerating the concentration of capital into the core 60-99 ranges. April 1, 2026 - April 2, 2026: High-frequency posting buckets like 160-179 and 180-199 plummeted from around 30c to 3c, and the 100-119 bucket retreated from 54c to around 25c. The reason is that as the tracking period progressed, the actual posting pace became clear, causing the market to price out the tail scenarios of >120 total posts and concentrate capital into the core 60-99 range. March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026: Multiple buckets experienced severe volatility; 100-119 rose from 40c to 54c before falling back to 25.5c, 80-99 increased from 35c to 48.5c then dropped to 31c, while higher buckets like 120-139 plummeted from 30c-40c to around 3c. The actual posting pace was lower than initial high expectations, leading the market to drastically downgrade the upper bound of the forecasted total posts. March 28, 2026 - March 31, 2026: The 'Yes' prices of most non-core buckets (e.g., 140-159, 160-179, 200+, 40-59) plummeted from around 40c to between 5c and 18c due to extremely poor early liquidity and severe mispricing (sum of all Yes probabilities once exceeded 400%). As arbitrage capital entered, the mispricing was rapidly corrected.